NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	6.0 [603]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +18.8%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	1.5 [1028]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -10.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	19	62%	0.20	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.03
Treveon Graham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	22	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Brandon Goodwin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.04,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	15	62%	0.09	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Charles Brown Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	7	62%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damian Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.04	-0.01	19	73%	0.29	5	-0.11	6	83%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	-0.02	11	55%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	11	57%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tremont Waters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Vincent Poirier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	27.0	14.8	25.5	2.4	33.3	131.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +35.4%

ATL -0.3%

BOS +6.3%

BOS +6.8%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.2	109.2	112.0	109.6
season	13.8	14.5		106.6	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.0		105.8	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	15.6	17.7	12.8	14.7
BOS	15.3	13.8	13.1	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Brown Jr.	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-5	5	1.0	14.8	-13.80	20.0	14.4	5.63
Brandon Goodwin	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.48	10	-15	25	13.7	16.1	-2.39	14.4	14.5	-0.16
Vince Carter	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.46	7	-12	19	13.4	16.0	-2.57	14.7	14.1	0.60
Kevin Huerter	86	89	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.7	1.04	14.7	12.4	2.32
Damian Jones	38	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	10	-25	17.0	13.2	3.86	14.6	14.3	0.26
Jeff Teague	51	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	12	-29	16.2	13.0	3.11	13.9	15.1	-1.22
John Collins	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	8	-21	14.8	13.9	0.89	14.4	14.4	0.04
De'Andre Hunter	74	74	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	6	-17	14.3	15.7	-1.33	13.5	17.2	-3.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	59	55	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.00	23	-18	41	14.7	14.0	0.73	15.3	13.8	1.51
Marcus Smart	68	66	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-10	25	13.5	16.5	-3.04	14.7	14.5	0.24
Kemba Walker	63	60	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	14.8	13.8	1.03	14.3	15.2	-0.94
Jayson Tatum	79	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-1	7	14.3	14.9	-0.60	14.8	14.2	0.62
Grant Williams	60	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	6	-7	15.3	13.1	2.18	14.4	15.0	-0.62
Brad Wanamaker	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	5	-5	14.6	14.3	0.35	15.4	14.1	1.26
Romeo Langford	61	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.38	-9	14	-23	13.7	15.5	-1.82	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Javonte Green	9	9	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	3	-1	10.8	14.8	-4.01	16.2	14.5	1.72
Semi Ojeleye	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.32	-9	14	-23	15.6	13.7	1.99	14.2	15.0	-0.76
Vincent Poirier	16	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	13.6	14.6	-1.03	14.9	14.6	0.34
Tremont Waters	3	4	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	20.0	14.3	5.74	10.0	14.9	-4.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 102, MEM 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
CLE 85, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1	93.3%