NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Excitement	5.9 [606]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (BOS): +12.3%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	1.6 [639]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): -17.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Jamario Moon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	40%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.04	0.03	4	70%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Delonte West	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.02	-0.00	2	37%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	18	54%	0.05	5	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.15	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	21	50%	0.08	9	-0.23	12	75%	-0.02
Antawn Jamison	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	10	23%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.03	8	65%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	19	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.05	-0.06	13	46%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.04	0.00	15	57%	0.11	4	-0.08	7	43%	-0.07
Marquis Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.0	3.6	38.3	20.3	34.3	3.8	33.4	166.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +40.6%

CLE -3.5%

CLE -16.4%

BOS +28.4%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	15.3	88.5	96.9	106.0
season	16.1	15.5		109.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		102.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.5	16.3	16.0	13.0	15.0
BOS	12.7	12.5	16.0	18.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamario Moon	16	18	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-14	19	17.2	14.5	2.65	12.7	15.4	-2.70
Shaquille O'Neal	48	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.92	15.4	14.3	1.10
Antawn Jamison	58	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-9	9	14.0	16.4	-2.39	16.2	12.8	3.41
Anthony Parker	56	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	13.9	16.5	-2.69	16.6	12.3	4.24
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	31	31	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	0	-9	16.9	14.1	2.84	12.2	16.1	-3.93
Anderson Varejao	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	15.5	14.3	1.15	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Delonte West	31	29	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	3	-15	16.0	14.5	1.51	11.7	16.2	-4.53
LeBron James	92	93	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.8	18.7	-3.93	15.2	8.2	6.90
Mo Williams	94	94	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	3	-15	15.0	14.5	0.49	14.9	13.7	1.24

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	73	73	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.21	18	-9	27	15.1	14.2	0.82	15.2	14.3	0.94
Paul Pierce	54	55	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.19	18	-9	27	16.4	13.0	3.35	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Rajon Rondo	89	88	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.30	7	2	5	15.2	10.7	4.49	14.7	18.5	-3.84
Rasheed Wallace	47	45	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	3	3	15.7	14.1	1.58	14.8	15.1	-0.30
Ray Allen	75	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	5	-1	14.9	14.6	0.36	14.9	15.1	-0.14
Tony Allen	57	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	9	-9	13.5	16.8	-3.33	15.1	14.8	0.35
Kendrick Perkins	50	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	6	-3	14.1	15.7	-1.58	15.3	14.6	0.71
Marquis Daniels	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	9	-9	0.0	14.9	-14.87	5.0	15.1	-10.08
Michael Finley	16	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	11	-13	12.3	15.4	-3.06	17.2	14.5	2.65
Glen Davis	24	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	18	-27	14.2	15.1	-0.82	14.3	15.2	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 109, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.9,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 99, DET 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
LAC 72, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%