NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	102		Excitement	5.6 [715]		MVP	Ray McCallum (MEM): +9.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	113		Comeback	1.6 [202]		LVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (LAC): -7.2%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	14	68%	0.15	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
Paul Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	6	73%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	40%	-0.07
Wesley Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	5	62%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray McCallum	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.04	-0.04	12	58%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	10	76%	0.12	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	47%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Xavier Munford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.03	0.05	19	61%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	67%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.00	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	30.6	16.3	32.5	2.3	42.5	151.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +11.0%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +23.8%

MEM +7.2%

MEM +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	14.9	109.7	117.7	105.1
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	103.4
opponent	14.8	14.9		106.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	13.4	13.2	14.2	14.3
MEM	16.0	17.9	15.5	15.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	27	28	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.16	13	-24	37	13.2	14.8	-1.63	18.0	15.3	2.68
Austin Rivers	41	42	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.26	12	-23	35	14.1	14.5	-0.44	16.6	15.7	0.92
CJ Wilcox	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	14.5	14.3	0.16	17.0	16.1	0.91
Jeff Ayres	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-12	13	14.5	14.3	0.16	17.0	16.1	0.91
Pablo Prigioni	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-10	9	12.3	14.4	-2.08	12.0	16.3	-4.28
Wesley Johnson	36	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-15	19	13.9	14.6	-0.65	15.6	16.5	-0.91
Luc Mbah a Moute	33	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	14.1	14.5	-0.44	16.6	15.8	0.84
Jamal Crawford	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-12	13	14.7	13.9	0.81	16.0	16.3	-0.32
Jeff Green	40	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.11	-12	1	-13	14.8	14.0	0.76	16.6	15.8	0.80
Paul Pierce	53	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-7	3	14.9	13.6	1.22	16.4	15.8	0.61
JJ Redick	47	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	7	-25	13.9	14.8	-0.82	16.0	16.2	-0.26
Chris Paul	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.03	-20	9	-29	14.3	14.5	-0.23	15.7	16.8	-1.11
DeAndre Jordan	64	66	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.01	-25	14	-39	14.8	13.3	1.55	15.3	17.9	-2.66

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	59	57	0.78	-0.28	1.06	-0.01	27	-16	43	14.9	18.0	-3.13	13.5	15.7	-2.25
Zach Randolph	74	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	-0.03	25	-14	39	15.4	18.5	-3.17	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Ray McCallum	72	70	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-4	19	15.3	18.4	-3.08	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Tony Allen	64	63	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-9	29	16.1	16.1	0.06	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Ryan Hollins	28	27	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	-3	17	16.1	16.1	0.00	14.2	14.4	-0.22
JaMychal Green	55	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	12	-13	15.5	16.9	-1.39	14.7	14.0	0.70
Xavier Munford	38	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	19	-27	16.6	15.8	0.79	14.5	14.2	0.33
Briante Weber	20	20	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	18.6	15.4	3.15	15.0	14.2	0.84
Jarell Martin	22	20	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.21	-14	25	-39	18.5	15.4	3.17	15.5	14.0	1.47
Vince Carter	48	46	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.18	-17	28	-45	18.0	14.2	3.75	15.2	13.6	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, NYK 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.92,1,1,1	93.5%
HOU 71, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,1,1	93.4%
DET 110, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.3%