NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	6.1 [617]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +26.5%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.3 [122]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -19.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.08	-0.00	17	76%	0.35	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Leon Powe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	19	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.07	0.05	19	62%	0.21	0	0.00	12	92%	0.04
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.03	-0.02	23	61%	0.20	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	87%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	9	57%	0.06	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.02	13	8%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	31.3	17.0	25.2	1.8	32.0	135.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.6%

BOS -1.3%

NYK +13.5%

NYK +9.0%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.5	95.7	108.7	106.4
season	15.8	13.8		108.3	106.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	14.4	17.5	17.4	16.3
NYK	13.8	15.6	13.8	16.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	30	30	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.09	8	-20	28	16.2	16.4	-0.12	15.2	14.9	0.31
Leon Powe	23	23	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.11	7	-19	26	16.3	16.3	-0.07	16.5	14.5	2.04
Glen Davis	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-18	24	17.4	16.0	1.44	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Patrick O'Bryant	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	14.0	16.4	-2.39	18.0	14.9	3.11
Gabe Pruitt	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	14.0	16.4	-2.39	18.0	14.9	3.11
Eddie House	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-16	20	16.7	16.0	0.65	15.8	14.3	1.42
Brian Scalabrine	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-18	24	16.8	16.2	0.66	16.9	14.4	2.46
Kendrick Perkins	58	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	2	-16	16.0	16.8	-0.76	13.8	17.0	-3.24
Paul Pierce	80	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	2	-16	16.6	14.7	1.90	14.6	17.4	-2.79
Rajon Rondo	52	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.22	-25	13	-38	16.1	16.6	-0.55	14.1	16.0	-1.91
Kevin Garnett	55	56	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.02	-22	10	-32	16.1	16.6	-0.56	14.9	15.1	-0.15
Ray Allen	71	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.05	-20	8	-28	16.2	16.8	-0.64	15.2	14.3	0.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.02	25	-13	38	14.6	16.3	-1.75	16.3	16.4	-0.09
David Lee	82	82	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.12	13	-1	14	14.8	16.3	-1.47	16.3	16.1	0.24
Chris Duhon	84	83	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	1	10	15.0	15.2	-0.29	16.5	14.9	1.58
Al Harrington	67	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	7	-2	15.3	14.0	1.30	16.8	14.8	2.04
Quentin Richardson	69	67	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.17	3	9	-6	14.8	15.6	-0.77	15.8	17.8	-2.04
Jared Jeffries	49	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	1	10	15.7	14.2	1.46	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Nate Robinson	39	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.22	-8	20	-28	15.0	15.0	0.02	16.1	16.4	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.72,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.79,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 102, MEM 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 110, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 93, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.97,1,1	93.3%