NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.4 [424]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +24.7%
Miami Heat	99		Comeback	1.9 [702]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -25.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jodie Meeks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	17	45%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.06	-0.11	0.05	19	63%	0.07	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.16	-0.06	0.04	11	36%	-0.10	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.15	0.05	25	65%	0.35	4	-0.10	13	77%	-0.02
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	12	61%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Joel Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrel Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	11	27%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.06	0.03	13	59%	0.04	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	0.8	35.2	16.6	28.4	2.4	30.4	142.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +34.3%

MIA +9.7%

MIA +2.5%

MIA +4.8%

PHI -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	15.6	95.9	102.1	102.8
season	15.6	15.5		101.0	105.6
opponent	15.8	16.1		98.8	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	13.6	16.1	13.5	14.6
MIA	14.4	14.1	15.2	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-11	16	14.9	14.5	0.47	12.6	16.5	-3.95
Thaddeus Young	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-11	16	14.0	15.8	-1.80	15.5	14.1	1.49
Andre Iguodala	54	52	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.5	0.25	15.0	15.1	-0.17
Louis Williams	62	63	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-10	14	14.5	14.9	-0.46	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Elton Brand	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	5	-16	15.3	13.5	1.82	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Evan Turner	79	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-4	2	14.4	15.8	-1.45	15.4	13.3	2.12
Spencer Hawes	67	66	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.23	-9	3	-12	14.8	14.3	0.55	15.3	14.6	0.68
Jrue Holiday	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	7	-20	14.7	14.6	0.14	15.9	13.5	2.33

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	76	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-8	22	15.1	14.7	0.48	14.7	14.6	0.04
LeBron James	77	77	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-6	18	15.2	14.2	1.00	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Mario Chalmers	64	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.18	13	-7	20	14.9	15.2	-0.30	14.9	14.0	0.91
Shane Battier	58	58	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.16	13	-7	20	14.5	15.8	-1.30	14.1	15.4	-1.32
Ronny Turiaf	44	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-7	20	15.0	15.1	-0.03	15.0	14.3	0.71
Udonis Haslem	55	53	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	15	-24	15.1	15.0	0.16	14.2	15.2	-1.02
James Jones	31	32	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	8	-10	13.6	15.7	-2.15	16.0	14.0	1.97
Norris Cole	33	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	13	-20	15.2	14.9	0.30	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Joel Anthony	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.0	15.2	-1.19	15.5	14.5	0.97
Terrel Harris	35	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.20	-13	19	-32	16.8	14.0	2.75	14.5	14.7	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 81, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
ORL 92, CLE 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,1,1	93.5%
ATL 92, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.99,1,1	93.5%