NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	81		Excitement	5.7 [669]		MVP	Gordan Giricek (UTA): +8.6%
Utah Jazz	92		Comeback	2.1 [760]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (UTA): -12.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Theron Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	65%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	15	53%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	9	55%	0.00	4	-0.11	2	0%	-0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	18	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.08
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	57%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	0	87%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	49%	-0.03	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	14	41%	-0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	1.7	26.2	15.7	27.2	1.7	30.4	132.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM -20.6%

UTA +20.1%

UTA +52.0%

MEM -0.5%

MEM -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	18.5	15.7	93.1	107.0	100.5
season	15.3	17.2		102.3	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.7		100.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.8	15.5	16.2	15.4	14.9
UTA	14.8	18.0	19.0	23.3	18.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	28	30	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.17	13	-24	37	15.2	14.7	0.47	21.3	16.9	4.37
Bo Outlaw	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.22	10	-21	31	13.5	16.0	-2.52	20.5	16.7	3.83
Mike Miller	37	39	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.20	9	-20	29	15.4	14.4	0.99	22.6	15.0	7.52
James Posey	54	56	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-18	25	15.4	14.0	1.39	20.4	14.8	5.56
Jason Williams	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-1	-9	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.8	19.6	-3.85
Earl Watson	60	57	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.28	1	-12	13	15.1	14.4	0.66	18.8	17.7	1.15
Theron Smith	30	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	3	-17	14.0	15.3	-1.32	14.5	20.3	-5.74
Stromile Swift	47	46	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	6	-23	16.2	13.3	2.89	17.8	19.2	-1.49
Lorenzen Wright	56	53	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	0.03	-26	15	-41	14.5	15.5	-1.02	15.6	23.0	-7.33
Shane Battier	58	56	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	0.04	-28	17	-45	14.4	15.8	-1.34	16.6	21.8	-5.19

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	76	76	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.09	18	-7	25	17.7	24.2	-6.50	14.1	19.8	-5.67
Andrei Kirilenko	61	62	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.00	21	-10	31	17.9	19.8	-1.90	15.4	13.6	1.77
Carlos Arroyo	63	63	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-3	17	18.4	18.7	-0.27	14.5	15.7	-1.23
Jarron Collins	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	0	11	16.2	22.2	-6.00	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Mikki Moore	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.14	6	5	1	18.6	18.2	0.32	15.2	14.2	1.01
Michael Ruffin	11	12	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	8	-5	30.2	16.7	13.45	16.4	14.6	1.80
Tom Gugliotta	15	16	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	8	-5	18.2	18.5	-0.31	15.4	14.7	0.71
Raul Lopez	23	24	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	18.7	18.4	0.27	15.7	14.5	1.23
Greg Ostertag	21	22	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	14	-17	18.0	18.6	-0.54	15.5	14.6	0.85
Raja Bell	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.10	-6	17	-23	22.0	16.6	5.40	15.0	14.8	0.26
Sasha Pavlovic	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	20	-29	17.7	18.7	-0.98	14.3	15.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	93.9%
MIL 86, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.7%
PHX 92, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%