NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	86		Excitement	6.3 [445]		MVP	Caron Butler (LAC): +20.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	1.8 [844]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (MIL): -15.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Delfino	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.02	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	21	49%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darington Hobson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	5	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	18	41%	-0.06	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.09	0.10	-0.01	15	59%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	14	54%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	54%	0.17	5	-0.14	11	55%	-0.06
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	7	62%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.08
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	6	56%	0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	33.3	15.7	33.3	1.8	36.0	146.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +49.6%

LAC +7.8%

MIL -8.8%

LAC +0.2%

LAC +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	15.6	92.5	98.9	102.8
season	14.6	16.2		103.8	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		104.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	15.9	16.2	13.3	15.3
LAC	14.0	16.1	15.1	17.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	16	17	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.11	7	-13	20	15.7	15.3	0.49	17.0	15.3	1.68
Jon Brockman	7	8	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-11	16	14.1	15.4	-1.30	19.4	15.3	4.10
Shaun Livingston	50	48	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-17	28	14.6	16.2	-1.65	16.4	14.8	1.60
Jon Leuer	51	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.42	14	-20	34	13.3	17.9	-4.58	16.9	14.0	2.87
Larry Sanders	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-6	6	14.3	15.7	-1.46	15.2	15.8	-0.50
Darington Hobson	4	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	9.0	15.6	-6.63	13.7	15.7	-1.96
Ersan Ilyasova	40	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	9	-24	17.9	13.4	4.53	13.9	16.9	-2.93
Carlos Delfino	42	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	9	-24	16.7	14.3	2.41	15.5	15.8	-0.28
Brandon Jennings	88	87	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.31	-9	3	-12	15.4	15.0	0.36	15.3	20.8	-5.57
Stephen Jackson	86	87	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	4	-14	15.2	17.3	-2.10	15.7	14.8	0.84
Drew Gooden	56	56	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	11	-28	16.2	14.0	2.28	14.9	16.7	-1.84

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	60	60	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.18	15	-9	24	15.7	15.5	0.22	15.9	14.3	1.66
Chris Paul	70	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-7	20	15.5	16.0	-0.50	15.7	14.3	1.34
DeAndre Jordan	55	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-2	10	15.9	15.3	0.61	15.5	15.1	0.48
Caron Butler	69	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.24	9	-3	12	15.2	16.8	-1.57	15.8	14.4	1.36
Blake Griffin	75	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-4	14	15.3	16.8	-1.43	15.8	12.9	2.87
Brian Cook	18	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.14	-4	10	-14	16.8	15.3	1.43	12.9	15.8	-2.87
Reggie Evans	38	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.05	-2	8	-10	15.3	15.9	-0.61	15.1	15.5	-0.48
Ryan Gomes	13	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	7	-8	15.2	15.7	-0.55	15.5	15.3	0.23
Mo Williams	44	46	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	17	-28	16.3	15.0	1.28	13.9	16.7	-2.79
Randy Foye	23	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	13	-20	16.0	15.5	0.50	14.3	15.7	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1	94.0%
MEM 81, UTA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
MEM 100, DAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.93,1	93.5%