NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	6.0 [592]		MVP	Horace Grant (LAL): +8.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	1.8 [1006]		LVP	Tyronn Lue (LAL): -8.9%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	19	60%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	25	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.03	12	75%	0.15	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.07
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	72%	0.15	3	-0.09	12	67%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	20	58%	0.08	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	30.3	16.5	25.9	2.4	33.3	136.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +19.6%

LAL +18.1%

LAL +25.0%

NJN -16.6%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	LAL	NBA	NJN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.5	111.0	125.6	100.9
season	15.5	15.6		97.8	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	15.3	15.9	15.9	15.4
LAL	15.2	15.3	17.7	17.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	28	28	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-16	20	16.7	14.9	1.84	17.6	15.8	1.82
Kendall Gill	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-14	16	14.8	15.9	-1.15	16.7	16.2	0.53
Evan Eschmeyer	43	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-9	6	15.5	15.4	0.18	17.2	15.7	1.48
Johnny Newman	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-9	6	14.6	16.3	-1.64	16.3	16.5	-0.19
Lucious Harris	54	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	2	-16	15.9	14.8	1.15	16.2	16.7	-0.53
Aaron Williams	46	44	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-3	-6	15.4	15.5	-0.14	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Keith Van Horn	80	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	16.1	10.4	5.77	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Kenyon Martin	53	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	1	-14	15.0	16.1	-1.10	15.8	17.3	-1.54
Stephon Marbury	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	2	-16	15.0	16.8	-1.80	16.3	16.7	-0.44

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	71	74	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.12	18	-6	24	15.6	19.2	-3.58	16.1	12.6	3.51
Kobe Bryant	81	83	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.08	19	-7	26	15.4	24.9	-9.44	15.4	16.2	-0.89
Horace Grant	56	58	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.03	20	-8	28	15.6	17.8	-2.21	15.6	15.2	0.36
Ron Harper	40	41	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	0	12	16.0	16.7	-0.66	16.3	14.7	1.60
Rick Fox	40	41	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	16.7	16.2	0.51	15.5	15.4	0.09
Isaiah Rider	45	45	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	10	-8	16.4	16.3	0.11	15.6	15.3	0.23
Robert Horry	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	12	-12	17.5	15.8	1.67	15.7	15.3	0.39
Tyronn Lue	25	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	15	-18	18.2	15.7	2.51	16.8	14.9	1.82
Brian Shaw	31	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	13	-14	17.3	15.9	1.33	13.2	16.5	-3.23
Devean George	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	14	-16	18.8	16.2	2.55	7.2	15.9	-8.72
Greg Foster	15	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	19	-26	20.8	15.5	5.29	13.4	15.8	-2.38
Mark Madsen	10	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.01	-5	17	-22	15.7	16.5	-0.78	15.4	15.4	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 92, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.93,1	95.0%
SAS 98, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.7%
ORL 74, DEN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.62,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%