NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	5.6 [670]		MVP	Craig Ehlo (SEA): +15.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	105		Comeback	2.0 [699]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -20.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.C. Green	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	13	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	13	35%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.04	0.08	7	86%	0.00	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	12	29%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Johnson	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	12	41%	-0.09	2	-0.11	8	87%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.11	-0.06	11	55%	0.21	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	18	58%	0.10	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	18	62%	0.10	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	14	40%	-0.12	4	-0.08	7	29%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	25.6	15.7	27.8	1.7	34.3	128.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +48.3%

PHX -8.0%

PHX -7.3%

SEA +14.9%

SEA +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.6	93.9	108.2	104.4
season	14.6	14.9		106.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.6		100.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	19.3	13.0	18.8	12.1	15.3
SEA	14.3	14.2	15.5	13.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	47	47	0.09	-0.58	0.68	-0.11	7	-20	27	12.2	18.1	-5.90	13.2	15.2	-2.05
Rex Chapman	52	51	-0.06	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-15	17	13.6	17.3	-3.72	14.9	13.5	1.47
Steve Nash	50	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-15	17	12.4	18.4	-5.97	12.9	15.6	-2.64
Danny Manning	56	55	-0.30	-0.19	-0.11	-0.12	-6	-7	1	14.2	16.8	-2.63	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Michael Finley	41	42	-0.31	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-3	-7	16.9	14.2	2.74	15.1	13.6	1.49
Wesley Person	66	67	-0.33	-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-11	-2	-9	15.6	14.8	0.78	13.7	15.4	-1.75
A.C. Green	47	44	-0.42	-0.07	-0.35	0.05	-16	3	-19	17.9	13.0	4.89	15.5	13.2	2.37
Hot Rod Williams	62	61	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.07	-14	1	-15	18.2	10.4	7.82	15.0	12.9	2.17
Kevin Johnson	69	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	6	-25	16.2	13.1	3.18	13.9	15.1	-1.19

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	78	79	0.49	0.00	0.49	-0.01	17	-4	21	13.9	15.5	-1.55	15.9	12.8	3.06
Detlef Schrempf	69	71	0.45	0.04	0.41	-0.02	16	-3	19	14.9	12.5	2.38	16.9	11.1	5.84
Shawn Kemp	75	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-2	17	13.9	15.4	-1.47	16.1	12.2	3.90
Hersey Hawkins	73	75	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	0	13	13.8	15.6	-1.80	15.4	15.0	0.34
Sam Perkins	43	41	0.34	0.15	0.19	-0.07	14	-1	15	15.5	13.2	2.35	16.0	14.8	1.11
Eric Snow	40	41	0.26	0.23	0.03	0.17	3	10	-7	14.2	14.2	-0.00	13.1	16.9	-3.71
Jim McIlvaine	23	24	0.08	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	12	-11	15.3	13.9	1.41	17.5	14.6	2.96
Larry Stewart	33	31	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	18	-23	13.2	14.8	-1.58	13.4	16.2	-2.76
Greg Graham	1	1	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.00	0	13	-13	22.0	14.1	7.85	0.0	15.5	-15.46
David Wingate	7	8	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	14	-15	6.4	14.8	-8.40	5.4	16.2	-10.81
Craig Ehlo	43	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.22	-8	21	-29	15.0	13.6	1.43	13.6	16.6	-2.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 73, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.91,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
NYK 93, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.1%
TOR 101, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%