NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	92		Excitement	6.6 [531]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +7.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Comeback	2.0 [819]		LVP	Doug Christie (ORL): -22.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	11	64%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	57%	0.08	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Dwight Howard	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	11	52%	-0.05	3	-0.08	5	40%	-0.05
Steve Francis	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	12	52%	-0.01	7	-0.20	5	100%	0.04
Doug Christie	-0.22	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	7	13%	-0.16	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.01	21	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	13	52%	0.02	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	14	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.7	30.0	15.4	24.4	2.3	40.4	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +0.4%

CLE +21.8%

CLE +14.1%

CLE +11.9%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CLE	NBA	ORL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	16.6	15.5	98.9	107.4	104.0
season	14.3	16.2		102.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.2	13.6	15.7	15.7	14.2
CLE	15.0	17.1	17.0	17.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	71	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	14.1	14.3	-0.21	17.3	14.7	2.58
Pat Garrity	18	20	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	14.0	14.2	-0.20	17.1	16.5	0.66
Jameer Nelson	29	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-5	1	13.9	14.3	-0.38	16.2	16.8	-0.54
Stacey Augmon	9	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	16.6	13.9	2.65	17.1	16.6	0.53
Kelvin Cato	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-9	9	14.0	14.2	-0.21	15.7	17.2	-1.57
Hedo Turkoglu	35	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-6	3	13.9	14.3	-0.40	14.9	17.7	-2.77
Tony Battie	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.1	14.2	-0.08	16.9	15.4	1.50
Dwight Howard	55	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.16	-9	0	-9	14.7	13.3	1.39	17.8	15.1	2.71
Doug Christie	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	1	-11	13.9	14.7	-0.82	16.1	17.8	-1.67
Steve Francis	74	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	14.1	14.6	-0.52	16.6	16.9	-0.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	90	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	16.2	26.0	-9.79	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Jeff McInnis	89	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	1	7	16.8	14.2	2.56	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Sasha Pavlovic	52	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-3	15	15.5	18.0	-2.48	13.8	14.6	-0.77
Robert Traylor	57	55	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	6	-3	16.4	17.1	-0.70	14.5	13.7	0.76
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	59	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	2	5	17.8	14.7	3.14	14.4	13.7	0.67
Drew Gooden	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	2	5	16.4	17.0	-0.58	14.1	14.2	-0.04
DeSagana Diop	6	6	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	4	1	15.2	16.7	-1.56	12.3	14.3	-1.95
Eric Snow	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	13	-17	18.4	15.7	2.68	15.5	13.5	2.08
Lucious Harris	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	12	-15	16.4	16.7	-0.34	12.8	14.6	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 92, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.6%
PHI 93, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.97,1,1	93.5%
LAC 81, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%