NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	92		Excitement	5.5 [686]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +8.2%
Sacramento Kings	99		Comeback	2.6 [934]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -12.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	18	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	16	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	13	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	65%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	81%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	17	50%	0.00	4	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.1	2.4	27.4	15.5	25.4	2.4	25.4	118.7
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +31.2%

SAC +12.3%

SAC +10.6%

SAC +1.7%

NYK -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SAC	NBA	NYK	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.7	15.5	94.8	101.0	101.6
season	15.6	14.0		102.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.5		98.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.7	15.1	14.7	16.0	14.8
SAC	14.0	14.9	14.7	15.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-7	7	15.9	14.1	1.81	15.7	14.0	1.70
Kurt Thomas	59	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	14.7	15.0	-0.25	14.8	14.4	0.39
Clar. Weatherspoon	60	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-10	13	15.2	14.2	1.02	15.3	13.7	1.64
Howard Eisley	66	67	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.3	16.0	-1.65	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Othella Harrington	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	3	-13	14.2	15.2	-1.02	13.7	15.3	-1.64
Michael Doleac	38	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	2	-11	15.0	14.7	0.25	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Latrell Sprewell	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	4	-15	14.3	17.1	-2.78	14.2	16.8	-2.66
Allan Houston	86	88	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	2	-11	14.7	16.1	-1.40	14.7	14.9	-0.23

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	74	74	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-11	29	14.5	15.3	-0.79	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Vlade Divac	64	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-11	29	13.9	16.2	-2.36	15.2	14.0	1.27
Mike Bibby	64	65	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	0	7	13.8	16.4	-2.54	13.9	16.7	-2.84
Peja Stojakovic	60	62	0.41	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	-1	9	13.9	15.9	-1.92	14.3	15.9	-1.63
Chris Webber	77	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	3	1	14.7	14.7	0.03	14.1	17.5	-3.49
Keon Clark	55	52	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.33	-8	15	-23	15.6	13.5	2.15	15.5	14.1	1.37
Bobby Jackson	34	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	7	-7	16.4	13.8	2.54	16.7	13.9	2.84
Jim Jackson	47	44	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	13	-19	15.8	13.7	2.06	15.6	14.2	1.45
Hedo Turkoglu	15	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	13	-19	15.3	14.6	0.68	15.2	14.8	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.3%
PHI 96, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1	94.2%
CHH 77, GSW 88	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%