NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	6.1 [576]		MVP	Brandon Rush (IND): +14.1%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	2.2 [531]		LVP	T.J. Ford (IND): -16.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.01	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	12	62%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	62%	0.04	4	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	28%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Lou Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	14	35%	-0.05	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	-0.01	-0.03	20	56%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.05	0.02	14	68%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.02	15	66%	0.17	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	15	32%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	26.3	16.4	23.6	2.3	28.7	125.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +21.6%

PHI -1.4%

IND +5.7%

IND +24.5%

PHI -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	IND	NBA	PHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	15.3	100.0	109.2	106.0
season	15.1	14.2		104.2	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		105.3	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	15.0	15.7	12.9	14.5
IND	12.1	15.7	16.3	17.1	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jodie Meeks	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	7.7	14.8	-7.04	14.7	15.2	-0.45
Thaddeus Young	54	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-11	11	13.8	15.4	-1.65	16.1	14.0	2.07
Willie Green	42	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-4	-3	14.0	14.9	-0.85	16.1	14.4	1.71
Rodney Carney	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-6	1	13.5	14.8	-1.30	15.1	15.2	-0.06
Jason Smith	35	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-14	17	13.4	15.1	-1.69	16.0	14.7	1.33
Andre Iguodala	61	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-7	3	15.7	12.5	3.21	14.1	17.1	-3.00
Elton Brand	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-4	-3	15.3	13.9	1.35	13.9	16.1	-2.20
Jason Kapono	30	31	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	12.4	15.5	-3.10	17.2	14.3	2.89
Jrue Holiday	73	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-6	1	15.0	13.0	1.97	14.6	17.0	-2.43
Samuel Dalembert	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.07	-16	5	-21	15.8	13.4	2.48	14.7	15.6	-0.83
Lou Williams	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	3	-17	14.7	14.0	0.71	15.2	15.1	0.15

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	81	80	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.10	15	-4	19	15.5	13.6	1.86	14.3	15.7	-1.42
Earl Watson	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-2	15	15.1	15.5	-0.37	14.7	13.7	0.95
Roy Hibbert	50	51	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.00	15	-4	19	14.9	15.4	-0.50	14.7	14.3	0.36
T.J. Ford	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	15.0	16.2	-1.20	14.7	13.7	0.97
Dahntay Jones	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	2	7	15.7	14.4	1.33	13.7	15.7	-1.92
Troy Murphy	74	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	7	-3	15.6	13.8	1.79	15.1	12.7	2.46
Mike Dunleavy	43	41	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	9	-7	15.8	14.7	1.16	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Luther Head	14	12	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	18	-25	13.2	15.5	-2.30	15.2	14.4	0.76
Josh McRoberts	11	11	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.06	-8	19	-27	10.2	15.8	-5.63	13.5	14.6	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 95, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 92, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.79,0.92,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 84, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.79,0.74,0.9,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%