inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 110 Excitement5.7 [697] MVPMarco Belinelli (SAS): +21.6%
San Antonio Spurs 120 Comeback2.0 [968] LVPWill Bynum (DET): -12.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Drummond0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.03-0.011262%0.1200.002100%0.01
Kyle Singler0.060,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.120.000.06894%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Peyton Siva0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Mitchell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gigi Datome0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.02-0.02642%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.040.011957%0.063-0.08450%-0.04
Rodney Stuckey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011355%0.043-0.065100%0.02
Greg Monroe-0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.021143%-0.0300.006100%0.03
Brandon Jennings-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.0220%-0.032-0.0300%0.00
Will Bynum-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.070.011850%-0.014-0.1200%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.190.060.038100%0.262-0.044100%0.02
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.03-0.041055%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.000.022100%0.062-0.026100%0.02
Tiago Splitter0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.001154%0.051-0.03250%-0.01
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.001055%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.020.00757%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.020.03968%0.072-0.074100%0.02
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.010.031164%0.104-0.103100%0.02
Matt Bonner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0010%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001248%0.032-0.063100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.827.315.527.32.427.7127.5
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +39.6%
SAS +16.3%
SAS +0.1%
DET -5.3%
DET -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETSASNBADETSASNBA
this game15.313.015.1107.8118.8105.2
season15.015.0104.7109.8
opponent15.015.0101.1108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET12.518.014.916.715.3
SAS12.814.011.614.013.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Peyton Siva220.00-0.500.50-0.093-131611.515.4-3.9111.513.1-1.56
Tony Mitchell220.00-0.500.50-0.093-131611.515.4-3.9111.513.1-1.56
Gigi Datome220.00-0.500.50-0.093-131611.515.4-3.9111.513.1-1.56
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope2322-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-141816.714.91.7613.313.00.31
Jonas Jerebko76-0.11-0.390.28-0.02-3-7416.315.31.0210.813.2-2.34
Will Bynum6464-0.14-0.360.23-0.223-131615.515.00.5313.512.21.28
Rodney Stuckey6261-0.23-0.270.03-0.14-3-7416.213.92.2813.811.81.99
Brandon Jennings2929-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-133-1614.915.5-0.5612.613.2-0.67
Kyle Singler7475-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.11-8-2-614.916.6-1.7612.813.8-1.00
Greg Monroe7068-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-100-1014.716.7-2.0212.514.2-1.76
Andre Drummond8483-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-111-1215.813.32.5013.312.01.25
Josh Smith9191-0.620.12-0.75-0.09-188-2615.017.9-2.8912.913.8-0.85

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kawhi Leonard61620.60-0.100.71-0.0723-133612.813.4-0.5715.515.00.51
Tiago Splitter62620.56-0.060.61-0.1223-133613.113.00.0915.914.51.33
Manu Ginobili58570.54-0.040.57-0.0219-92813.013.0-0.0315.614.90.72
Tim Duncan57590.490.010.48-0.0117-72412.413.8-1.4415.515.10.34
Marco Belinelli55560.260.240.010.1446-213.912.01.8915.615.00.61
Boris Diaw53540.170.33-0.150.0646-214.012.02.0015.615.00.63
Danny Green48490.030.47-0.440.12-313-1612.713.3-0.6115.015.6-0.56
Patty Mills42420.010.49-0.470.25-818-2613.212.90.2316.014.81.21
Matt Bonner440.000.50-0.500.15-515-209.013.2-4.2012.515.4-2.95
Aron Baynes440.000.50-0.500.15-515-209.013.2-4.2012.515.4-2.95
Austin Daye440.000.50-0.500.15-515-209.013.2-4.2012.515.4-2.95
Cory Joseph3031-0.000.50-0.510.11-414-1813.113.00.1013.616.1-2.52
Jeff Ayres2726-0.160.66-0.820.14-1020-3013.312.90.3114.215.7-1.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 87, SAC 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.9%
NOH 102, PHX 1040.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,193.9%
MIL 84, HOU 930.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,193.8%