NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	102		Excitement	6.0 [627]		MVP	Marcin Gortat (PHX): +32.6%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	2.8 [479]		LVP	Jason Smith (NOH): -9.6%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.20	-0.00	0.05	14	68%	0.14	0	0.00	10	100%	0.07
Willie Green	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.05	17	47%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.02	-0.10	-0.04	11	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.24	0.12	0.04	10	93%	0.33	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.03	-0.02	10	76%	0.19	2	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zabian Dowdell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	9	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.0	16.5	25.9	2.0	34.2	134.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +64.1%

PHX +7.0%

NOH -5.7%

NOH -17.2%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	PHX	NBA	NOH	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.5	108.5	111.8	105.7
season	16.2	14.5		104.6	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		109.0	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.8	15.6	17.1	14.9	16.1
PHX	15.1	12.2	14.2	18.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Andersen	36	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.21	12	-14	26	14.7	17.0	-2.27	15.4	14.3	1.08
Jarrett Jack	31	30	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-5	8	16.1	16.1	0.05	16.6	13.8	2.76
DJ Mbenga	5	3	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-4	6	12.0	16.3	-4.33	28.3	14.2	14.09
Willie Green	50	48	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.48	17	-19	36	14.3	18.1	-3.79	16.0	13.4	2.60
Emeka Okafor	33	33	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	0	-2	17.8	15.2	2.56	13.1	15.6	-2.45
Jason Smith	32	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.5	-1.33	14.2	15.0	-0.85
Quincy Pondexter	4	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	3	-8	21.0	15.9	5.12	12.2	14.8	-2.64
Marco Belinelli	25	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	9	-20	19.2	15.0	4.28	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Marcus Thornton	47	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.37	4	-6	10	14.9	17.3	-2.36	13.4	16.0	-2.57
Trevor Ariza	70	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	4	-10	16.2	15.7	0.46	14.5	15.2	-0.69
Chris Paul	75	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	5	-12	16.3	15.4	0.85	14.9	13.8	1.08
David West	62	63	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.37	-14	12	-26	17.2	14.0	3.22	14.5	15.2	-0.74

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	77	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.35	8	-6	14	15.0	13.2	1.75	16.6	13.1	3.55
Steve Nash	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-6	14	13.9	17.1	-3.27	16.2	15.9	0.29
Marcin Gortat	43	45	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-3	8	15.9	13.7	2.25	16.0	16.2	-0.27
Grant Hill	52	52	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-8	18	13.2	16.5	-3.29	16.7	15.4	1.25
Vince Carter	61	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	-2	6	13.5	17.0	-3.46	16.3	15.8	0.47
Mickael Pietrus	32	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	4	-6	17.0	13.5	3.46	15.8	16.3	-0.47
Robin Lopez	34	32	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	-5	12	13.5	15.4	-1.94	18.0	15.1	2.89
Jared Dudley	50	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.54	-16	18	-34	15.8	13.4	2.38	14.6	17.9	-3.31
Zabian Dowdell	24	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	8	-14	17.1	13.9	3.27	15.9	16.2	-0.29
Hakim Warrick	23	21	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.05	-8	10	-18	14.1	14.9	-0.76	13.8	16.8	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, LAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
DET 110, SAS 120	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
GSW 90, MIN 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.92,1	93.7%