NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	84		Excitement	6.0 [636]		MVP	Kevin Martin (HOU): +17.5%
Houston Rockets	93		Comeback	1.8 [772]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (HOU): -12.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	9	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	18	68%	0.15	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	0%	-0.07

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.07	0.03	23	56%	0.21	1	-0.03	18	78%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	43%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.03	-0.05	25	35%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	8	26%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	27.8	15.5	23.1	1.8	32.0	125.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -11.8%

HOU +23.2%

HOU +21.6%

HOU +14.1%

HOU +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.5	92.3	103.3	105.7
season	16.2	15.2		100.1	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.5	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	16.9	17.8	16.5	16.3
HOU	13.5	16.6	14.1	18.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.04	1	-10	11	16.2	16.3	-0.14	15.0	15.8	-0.74
Earl Boykins	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.12	1	-10	11	16.8	16.0	0.75	15.5	15.6	-0.12
Chris Douglas-Roberts	36	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-10	11	17.2	15.7	1.51	16.4	15.0	1.42
Ersan Ilyasova	49	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.05	-8	-1	-7	16.1	16.5	-0.37	13.6	17.8	-4.12
Drew Gooden	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-9	9	17.3	14.9	2.46	16.8	14.0	2.82
John Salmons	57	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	1	-11	15.3	17.8	-2.51	14.9	16.7	-1.78
Keyon Dooling	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	16.0	16.8	-0.75	15.6	15.5	0.12
Andrew Bogut	71	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	16.1	16.7	-0.64	16.1	13.6	2.45
Corey Maggette	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.25	-10	1	-11	16.1	17.1	-0.99	15.8	14.8	0.99

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	72	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-4	17	15.8	14.6	1.19	16.1	16.9	-0.86
Luis Scola	80	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.16	14	-5	19	16.0	12.2	3.79	16.3	16.2	0.06
Kevin Martin	72	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-3	15	15.0	17.8	-2.76	16.0	17.2	-1.21
Kyle Lowry	65	65	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	-3	15	15.5	15.6	-0.10	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Charles Hayes	48	49	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-5	19	14.6	16.7	-2.11	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Aaron Brooks	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.22	-3	12	-15	16.2	15.2	0.92	16.4	16.2	0.21
Jordan Hill	42	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.31	-7	16	-23	16.7	14.6	2.11	16.5	16.1	0.41
Chase Budinger	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	10	-11	16.4	15.4	0.94	16.8	16.2	0.63
Jared Jeffries	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	12	-15	12.2	15.9	-3.64	18.7	16.0	2.74
Courtney Lee	16	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.06	-6	15	-21	14.7	15.7	-0.99	16.6	16.2	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 88, CHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
BOS 89, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.77,0.79,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.5%
LAC 98, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%