NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	4.6 [916]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +13.7%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.7 [915]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -18.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	11	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	12	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	19	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Salim Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	11	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	4	33%	-0.03	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Josh Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	38%	-0.05	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.04	9	16%	-0.10	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.04	-0.05	20	57%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.08	12	72%	0.08	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	13	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	11	37%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	49%	0.01	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	30.6	16.0	27.0	3.0	27.0	130.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +23.8%

DET +11.1%

DET +3.6%

DET +8.1%

DET +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.6	92.6	104.3	104.4
season	15.6	16.9		103.9	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	14.2	18.0	13.2	15.1
DET	14.4	15.8	13.9	18.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	55	54	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.56	18	-28	46	14.3	16.3	-1.97	18.0	12.5	5.49
Marvin Williams	57	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-23	36	15.3	14.9	0.39	16.7	13.9	2.83
Salim Stoudamire	40	39	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-9	8	13.5	16.3	-2.75	18.0	14.0	4.00
Royal Ivey	36	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	1	-12	15.3	15.0	0.33	14.4	16.5	-2.11
Al Harrington	63	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	7	-24	15.6	14.2	1.44	14.6	17.8	-3.21
Josh Smith	86	87	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	15.3	13.1	2.19	15.6	16.8	-1.24
Joe Johnson	78	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	5	-20	15.6	13.0	2.56	14.4	21.3	-6.87
Zaza Pachulia	55	53	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.30	-29	19	-48	15.3	14.8	0.52	14.5	17.2	-2.63

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	83	83	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-9	28	15.7	15.5	0.20	15.2	14.5	0.76
Rasheed Wallace	70	70	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	-6	22	15.0	17.7	-2.68	15.3	14.6	0.68
Richard Hamilton	73	72	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.06	16	-6	22	15.0	18.3	-3.34	15.9	12.6	3.31
Tayshaun Prince	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	14.7	18.3	-3.65	16.1	12.8	3.30
Ben Wallace	81	83	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-2	14	15.5	17.0	-1.52	15.4	12.8	2.62
Maurice Evans	30	31	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	7	-4	17.9	14.6	3.28	13.3	16.0	-2.79
Antonio McDyess	35	35	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	18	-26	17.5	14.6	2.85	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Alex Acker	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	14.5	15.7	-1.20	10.0	15.2	-5.24
Carlos Delfino	14	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	17	-24	19.7	15.0	4.75	11.9	15.8	-3.84
Lindsey Hunter	10	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.14	-9	19	-28	15.5	15.7	-0.20	14.5	15.2	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 86, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAL 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%