NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	4.9 [842]		MVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): +17.6%
Miami Heat	101		Comeback	1.8 [1137]		LVP	Goran Dragic (MIA): -15.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	7	100%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.00	-0.02	13	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Brown	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	41%	-0.01	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	11	48%	-0.04	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	0.01	16	68%	0.23	3	-0.05	12	83%	0.03
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	9	74%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	9	43%	0.04	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.02
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwyane Wade	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	14	39%	0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.6	15.6	25.1	2.4	30.6	128.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -5.2%

MIA +15.5%

MIA +14.5%

MIA +24.4%

MIA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIA	NBA	LAL	MIA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.8	14.9	93.6	107.4	105.1
season	15.2	15.5		100.1	104.5
opponent	15.1	14.5		103.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	14.8	13.0	13.0	13.8
MIA	16.0	16.5	19.1	15.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	27	27	0.23	-0.73	0.97	-0.24	16	-29	45	14.8	13.5	1.32	16.1	17.1	-0.96
Marcelo Huertas	31	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-21	29	12.9	14.3	-1.40	16.6	16.9	-0.28
Larry Nance Jr.	39	38	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-17	21	14.5	13.3	1.19	16.3	17.2	-0.90
Anthony Brown	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	9.4	14.2	-4.77	15.3	16.9	-1.63
Ryan Kelly	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	10.2	14.1	-3.92	16.2	16.8	-0.63
Nick Young	51	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	14.3	13.3	0.95	15.6	18.1	-2.56
Brandon Bass	22	21	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-9	5	12.6	14.2	-1.63	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Lou Williams	50	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-12	11	15.0	12.5	2.43	16.6	17.0	-0.40
D'Angelo Russell	41	42	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.14	-20	7	-27	13.5	14.1	-0.67	17.2	16.5	0.75
Jordan Clarkson	59	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.04	-17	4	-21	14.2	13.3	0.84	16.9	16.6	0.37
Metta World Peace	43	45	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.02	-17	4	-21	13.3	14.3	-0.95	18.1	15.6	2.56
Julius Randle	49	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	6	-25	13.7	14.0	-0.22	17.3	16.3	1.00
Roy Hibbert	45	46	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	12	-37	13.9	13.8	0.09	17.7	15.9	1.76

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	59	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.05	23	-10	33	16.7	16.9	-0.23	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Hassan Whiteside	52	51	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.05	22	-9	31	17.8	15.5	2.35	14.0	13.6	0.39
Dwyane Wade	47	47	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-10	33	18.0	15.6	2.36	13.9	13.8	0.11
Luol Deng	59	58	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	0	13	17.3	15.9	1.41	13.2	14.9	-1.79
Chris Bosh	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	4	5	16.3	17.8	-1.42	13.9	13.6	0.32
Justise Winslow	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.18	0	13	-13	16.5	17.3	-0.78	14.0	13.6	0.33
Josh McRoberts	35	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	13	-13	15.9	17.3	-1.41	14.9	13.2	1.79
Udonis Haslem	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	16.2	16.8	-0.63	10.2	14.1	-3.92
Tyler Johnson	57	57	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.18	-10	23	-33	16.0	18.0	-1.98	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Josh Richardson	29	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.23	-13	26	-39	16.4	17.0	-0.61	14.6	13.5	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 86, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1	94.3%
HOU 82, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%