NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	4.7 [892]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +12.3%
New Jersey Nets	101		Comeback	1.9 [756]		LVP	T.J. Ford (TOR): -18.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	79%	0.20	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	68%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	9	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
T.J. Ford	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	8	0%	-0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	18	54%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	23	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	71%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.6	25.4	15.4	24.4	2.5	31.6	130.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +28.0%

TOR -4.7%

NJN +10.6%

NJN +11.8%

NJN +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	15.4	91.5	107.4	104.5
season	15.2	15.4		104.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		103.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	14.8	17.3	14.4	15.4
NJN	13.6	16.5	14.0	16.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	27	29	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.13	13	-28	41	12.3	16.7	-4.38	16.5	14.7	1.82
Jose Calderon	58	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.32	13	-28	41	14.3	17.2	-2.84	15.4	14.9	0.59
Kris Humphries	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	9.7	15.6	-5.94	20.0	15.0	4.99
Darrick Martin	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	9.7	15.6	-5.94	18.0	15.1	2.87
Morris Peterson	71	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-22	29	14.1	19.3	-5.21	15.6	14.2	1.39
Fred Jones	15	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-16	17	14.2	15.6	-1.45	15.9	15.1	0.83
Andrea Bargnani	63	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-16	17	15.2	15.9	-0.78	15.6	14.5	1.15
Jorge Garbajosa	61	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-8	1	15.7	14.9	0.83	14.6	16.2	-1.66
Rasho Nesterovic	18	17	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.20	-22	7	-29	19.7	14.4	5.33	14.4	15.4	-1.06
T.J. Ford	33	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.23	-27	12	-39	17.8	14.1	3.75	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Chris Bosh	63	63	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.00	-21	6	-27	16.0	14.2	1.82	14.5	16.6	-2.07
Anthony Parker	55	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	0.22	-31	16	-47	17.1	13.0	4.08	14.9	15.7	-0.83

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	73	76	0.86	-0.36	1.22	-0.20	36	-21	57	14.2	18.9	-4.68	16.6	10.4	6.15
Jason Collins	48	49	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.25	32	-17	49	14.6	15.9	-1.35	17.2	13.5	3.69
Mikki Moore	63	64	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.02	22	-7	29	14.3	17.0	-2.70	16.5	13.1	3.40
Richard Jefferson	78	77	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.02	19	-4	23	15.3	14.8	0.50	15.4	15.6	-0.28
Jason Kidd	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.07	21	-6	27	15.0	15.9	-0.93	16.5	12.6	3.91
Josh Boone	3	4	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	18	-21	18.0	15.1	2.87	9.5	15.7	-6.18
Eddie House	20	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	19	-23	15.0	15.3	-0.22	14.4	15.7	-1.27
Marcus Williams	35	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	25	-35	16.5	14.4	2.10	13.5	16.5	-2.97
Bostjan Nachbar	51	50	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	24	-33	16.4	13.8	2.64	13.7	17.4	-3.66
Clifford Robinson	16	15	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	27	-39	16.1	15.1	1.01	11.9	16.1	-4.22
Hassan Adams	16	14	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.17	-17	32	-49	18.3	14.6	3.72	10.4	16.3	-5.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.55,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 87, DET 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 103, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%