NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	4.9 [829]		MVP	Howard Eisley (UTA): +11.4%
Utah Jazz	101		Comeback	1.3 [1034]		LVP	Kenny Thomas (HOU): -9.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	9	80%	0.13	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Devin Gray	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.08	10	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Steve Francis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	17	39%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	3	56%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	4	10%	-0.08	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.05	0.03	11	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	11	74%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	12	53%	0.02	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	3	100%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	78%	0.03	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	25.3	15.8	30.0	2.7	24.3	125.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +28.9%

HOU -8.5%

UTA +7.3%

UTA +14.4%

UTA +8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	17.5	16.4	15.2	96.5	118.8	101.7
season	15.4	16.3		102.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	14.6		100.6	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.3	16.4	19.7	16.4	17.5
UTA	15.5	17.1	14.6	18.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Gray	14	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.01	-3	-16	13	15.8	17.8	-2.00	16.4	16.4	0.02
Carlos Rogers	56	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	-11	3	16.5	19.3	-2.86	17.2	15.1	2.10
Bryce Drew	56	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-17	15	17.8	16.8	1.06	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Kelvin Cato	49	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-13	7	17.0	18.0	-0.99	17.0	15.8	1.19
Moochie Norris	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.06	-10	-9	-1	17.1	18.7	-1.69	16.3	16.9	-0.64
Hakeem Olajuwon	28	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	-9	-1	19.3	16.5	2.78	15.3	17.0	-1.69
Steve Francis	56	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.09	-14	-5	-9	17.2	17.9	-0.61	17.2	15.0	2.21
Kenny Thomas	37	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-5	-9	18.1	17.0	1.10	15.6	17.2	-1.59
Shandon Anderson	64	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	0.13	-28	9	-37	18.1	15.5	2.57	16.6	15.8	0.88

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	63	64	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.16	28	-9	37	16.6	15.9	0.69	18.5	14.2	4.28
Karl Malone	50	52	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	7	5	15.3	18.1	-2.78	17.4	17.5	-0.09
John Stockton	52	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	7	5	14.9	18.8	-3.82	17.9	16.7	1.14
Jacque Vaughn	28	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	7	5	18.8	15.3	3.52	17.3	17.5	-0.16
Olden Polynice	42	45	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	9	1	15.7	17.1	-1.40	17.6	17.3	0.21
Howard Eisley	48	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	9	1	17.1	15.5	1.66	17.7	17.2	0.46
Greg Ostertag	43	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	10	-1	17.1	15.7	1.40	17.3	17.6	-0.21
Armen Gilliam	28	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.09	7	12	-5	18.1	15.6	2.56	18.8	16.8	1.99
Jeff Hornacek	35	36	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	15	-11	15.5	17.1	-1.59	17.6	17.3	0.26
Adam Keefe	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.7	16.3	1.41	11.7	17.9	-6.23
Scott Padgett	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	17.7	16.3	1.41	11.7	17.9	-6.23
Quincy Lewis	22	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	28	-37	15.9	16.6	-0.69	14.2	18.5	-4.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 88, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
SAS 98, CHH 105	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.2%
LAL 89, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.0%