NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	5.5 [743]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +13.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Comeback	1.5 [926]		LVP	Caron Butler (LAL): -14.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	22	47%	0.01	4	-0.11	11	100%	0.07
Caron Butler	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	15	33%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	13	83%	0.21	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	55%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	9	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	20	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.8	31.3	17.0	31.1	2.7	33.3	143.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +33.8%

CLE +1.5%

CLE +14.8%

LAL -2.6%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	15.6	15.5	96.7	112.0	104.0
season	15.7	16.2		105.8	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.0	18.0	14.2	17.4	15.7
CLE	16.0	15.5	13.5	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	8	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-19	24	15.6	15.7	-0.11	17.3	15.4	1.95
Brian Cook	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-14	14	13.8	16.6	-2.83	14.8	15.9	-1.14
Brian Grant	26	23	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-11	8	16.9	15.3	1.61	13.8	16.2	-2.39
Slava Medvedenko	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-12	10	16.0	15.7	0.30	15.6	15.6	0.03
Tierre Brown	14	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-9	4	15.0	15.9	-0.86	17.3	15.2	2.10
Jumaine Jones	23	25	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-9	4	17.3	15.2	2.10	16.1	15.4	0.75
Chucky Atkins	78	77	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	15.9	15.0	0.86	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Chris Mihm	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	0	-14	15.7	15.7	0.01	16.9	14.5	2.43
Lamar Odom	81	82	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-5	-4	16.0	13.6	2.38	15.7	14.7	0.98
Kobe Bryant	80	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	1	-16	15.3	18.4	-3.09	15.2	17.6	-2.44
Caron Butler	73	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.7	15.9	-0.21	15.6	15.6	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	66	67	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-5	24	16.0	14.6	1.39	16.4	14.0	2.43
Sasha Pavlovic	59	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-3	20	15.0	16.7	-1.70	15.5	16.2	-0.66
LeBron James	88	88	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	5	4	15.6	15.0	0.60	15.6	17.7	-2.11
Drew Gooden	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	1	12	15.1	16.3	-1.21	16.1	15.2	0.86
Robert Traylor	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	12	-10	15.5	15.6	-0.12	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Jeff McInnis	60	62	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	4	6	14.7	17.1	-2.37	16.0	15.2	0.78
Lucious Harris	30	28	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	11	-8	17.3	14.7	2.56	16.0	15.6	0.44
Eric Snow	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.11	3	11	-8	16.4	15.0	1.40	15.7	15.8	-0.12
Jerome Moiso	13	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	20	-26	15.8	15.5	0.31	12.2	16.3	-4.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.95,1	94.6%
HOU 82, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	93.9%