NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	6.9 [459]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +27.4%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.4 [963]		LVP	James Jones (IND): -16.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	21	57%	0.08	1	-0.04	14	86%	0.08
Erick Dampier	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.02	17	55%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Terry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	15	39%	-0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
Alan Henderson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.06

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.12	0.01	7	111%	0.33	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	47%	0.00	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	24	43%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.6	30.2	17.7	28.2	3.5	47.3	157.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +24.1%

IND +18.9%

DAL -7.3%

IND +0.2%

IND +14.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.5	102.2	103.3	104.0
season	14.9	16.8		108.2	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	17.2	14.6	13.9	15.0
IND	14.7	16.3	15.4	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Dampier	49	48	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.27	12	-13	25	15.2	14.9	0.30	17.7	14.7	2.98
Darrell Armstrong	12	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-2	3	12.1	15.5	-3.40	14.0	16.6	-2.57
Alan Henderson	41	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	3	-7	15.6	14.6	0.93	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Josh Howard	53	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.42	10	-11	21	14.6	15.7	-1.13	17.8	13.9	3.92
Devin Harris	24	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	1	-3	17.4	14.2	3.15	15.0	16.7	-1.71
Shawn Bradley	9	10	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	4	-9	15.6	15.0	0.57	17.6	16.1	1.50
Jerry Stackhouse	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.50	6	-7	13	14.7	16.0	-1.22	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Jason Terry	41	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	8	-17	14.9	15.2	-0.34	16.3	16.2	0.03
Michael Finley	85	85	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	4	-9	14.9	16.3	-1.34	15.6	23.9	-8.22
Dirk Nowitzki	78	78	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.44	-7	6	-13	15.0	15.4	-0.45	15.6	19.7	-4.07

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	71	71	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.38	9	-8	17	16.6	15.2	1.33	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Reggie Miller	63	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-4	9	15.8	17.2	-1.43	15.1	14.9	0.21
Anthony Johnson	63	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.36	3	-2	5	15.7	17.5	-1.78	15.4	14.3	1.10
Jermaine O'Neal	72	73	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	-4	9	15.9	17.5	-1.58	15.2	14.3	0.98
Fred Jones	63	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	6	-11	16.4	15.9	0.58	14.9	15.4	-0.49
James Jones	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	1	-1	16.3	16.1	0.22	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Eddie Gill	29	30	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	3	-5	17.5	15.7	1.78	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Scot Pollard	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	8	-15	16.3	16.3	0.01	15.2	15.0	0.23
David Harrison	10	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.03	-3	4	-7	17.8	16.1	1.73	15.8	15.0	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 89, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	94.6%
CHI 99, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.96,1,1,1	94.4%
TOR 83, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,1	94.3%