NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	83		Excitement	5.6 [421]		MVP	Danny Ferry (CLE): +12.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	1.0 [322]		LVP	Doug Christie (TOR): -17.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	15	51%	0.05	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Dee Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	18	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	12	75%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.05	0.02	13	43%	-0.13	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	75%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	90%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	12	54%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.6	27.2	15.6	24.3	2.6	38.1	133.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +67.5%

TOR -11.9%

TOR -6.2%

TOR -1.5%

CLE +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	17.3	15.8	92.2	102.2	99.6
season	15.6	16.3		99.0	97.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		99.2	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	15.4	15.9	13.9	14.9
CLE	17.6	18.0	16.9	16.8	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	19	19	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-10	12	15.9	14.6	1.30	19.2	16.8	2.33
Reggie Slater	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-10	12	17.4	14.7	2.78	20.9	17.0	3.83
Charles Oakley	56	55	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-6	4	15.1	14.4	0.68	17.7	16.7	1.00
Michael Stewart	12	11	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-3	-2	14.5	14.9	-0.42	17.1	17.4	-0.27
Alvin Williams	33	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	2	-12	15.8	14.3	1.45	15.6	18.4	-2.78
Dee Brown	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-5	2	14.2	15.8	-1.51	17.7	16.8	0.89
Tracy McGrady	65	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-7	6	14.7	15.4	-0.74	18.1	15.4	2.62
Doug Christie	83	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-5	2	14.4	20.0	-5.57	17.5	15.2	2.25
Kevin Willis	41	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	6	-20	15.0	14.8	0.16	15.5	18.8	-3.27
Vince Carter	81	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-2	-4	14.9	14.8	0.10	17.0	20.5	-3.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-1	10	17.7	16.7	1.05	14.9	14.8	0.16
Derek Anderson	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	1	6	16.7	18.8	-2.05	15.0	14.6	0.37
Cedric Henderson	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	3	2	17.0	18.3	-1.38	15.0	14.5	0.57
Wesley Person	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	2	4	17.1	17.7	-0.60	15.5	13.4	2.03
Danny Ferry	67	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	5	-2	17.1	18.1	-1.02	15.3	13.7	1.63
Bob Sura	28	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	3	2	17.2	17.4	-0.11	13.9	15.3	-1.40
Johnny Newman	35	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	8	-8	18.1	16.9	1.21	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Earl Boykins	22	23	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	6	-4	19.0	16.8	2.16	14.9	14.9	0.00
Mitchell Butler	34	33	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	6	-4	17.1	17.5	-0.43	13.2	15.8	-2.66
Ryan Stack	13	15	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	7	-6	18.6	17.1	1.51	15.0	14.8	0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.99,1,1	94.6%
DAL 103, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	94.3%
DAL 94, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.94,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.95,1	94.3%