inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 94 Excitement5.3 [731] MVPJason Smith (PHI): +14.1%
Philadelphia 76ers 101 Comeback1.0 [953] LVPRodney Stuckey (DET): -14.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0.130,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.010.02982%0.151-0.024100%0.02
Theo Ratliff0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.02-0.01362%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Walter Herrmann0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01275%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.022100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Juan Dixon0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.031159%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,00.01-0.01-0.00550%0.0000.002100%0.01
Jarvis Hayes-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01844%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Rasheed Wallace-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.00750%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.001036%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince-0.070,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02947%0.044-0.111100%0.01
Arron Afflalo-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.00520%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Rodney Stuckey-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.07-0.050.031040%-0.093-0.05580%0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.08-0.02667%0.1400.0000%0.00
Andre Iguodala0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.110.040.021468%0.192-0.05978%0.01
Lou Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.01-0.031050%0.0700.004100%0.02
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01968%0.071-0.02475%-0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.030.030.050.000.031367%0.083-0.06450%-0.01
Rodney Carney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.01342%-0.0300.00650%-0.02
Thaddeus Young0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01442%-0.011-0.02475%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.00-0.02837%-0.003-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.62.628.815.825.22.733.4134.0
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +40.0%
DET -3.8%
PHI +3.2%
PHI +5.9%
PHI +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPHINBADETPHINBA
this game16.815.415.4104.4113.5105.7
season16.815.2108.8104.0
opponent16.215.8104.2101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.516.915.017.816.8
PHI12.515.116.318.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter Herrmann1111-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-91113.617.2-3.5516.615.21.39
Amir Johnson3130-0.13-0.370.24-0.161-8916.217.1-0.9115.515.40.18
Chauncey Billups5655-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-6516.517.2-0.7714.816.5-1.71
Arron Afflalo2525-0.17-0.330.170.07-81-915.317.3-2.0415.315.5-0.13
Rasheed Wallace3535-0.19-0.310.120.02-70-716.916.70.2615.615.30.35
Jason Maxiell2828-0.19-0.310.12-0.252-91118.615.92.6917.514.52.99
Jarvis Hayes3029-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-1-518.016.11.9216.814.72.09
Theo Ratliff3332-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-3-117.116.60.5314.515.9-1.38
Antonio McDyess5252-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-3-116.117.6-1.5214.716.5-1.83
Juan Dixon4947-0.23-0.270.03-0.261-8917.915.42.4615.914.91.06
Tayshaun Prince5050-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-2-316.317.3-0.9314.316.8-2.50
Rodney Stuckey5051-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.26-6-1-516.716.8-0.0815.715.00.68

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Miller74760.420.080.340.2461514.917.9-3.0316.916.10.73
Andre Iguodala79780.370.130.240.3125-315.614.21.3716.319.6-3.26
Willie Green47460.310.190.130.0210-31315.015.9-0.8817.416.11.34
Thaddeus Young46480.270.230.030.2416-516.014.81.1216.417.1-0.68
Lou Williams42430.250.250.000.2216-516.614.42.2317.316.31.00
Jason Smith34350.250.25-0.000.1343115.315.5-0.2416.816.70.12
Samuel Dalembert59590.230.27-0.050.2307-715.714.80.9317.116.20.91
Calvin Booth15140.220.28-0.050.0852315.315.4-0.1016.816.70.04
Reggie Evans33330.190.31-0.12-0.0270715.115.6-0.5616.017.2-1.24
Rodney Carney1618-0.010.51-0.530.02-18-913.615.8-2.2616.316.9-0.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 92, TOR 990.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,195.0%
DAL 69, LAC 870.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,194.8%
DET 93, HOU 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%