NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	69		Excitement	4.9 [816]		MVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): +14.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	87		Comeback	1.0 [1133]		LVP	A.C. Green (DAL): -19.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Greg Dreiling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martin Muursepp	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sasha Danilovic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	15	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.02	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.02	7	26%	-0.10	4	-0.10	5	20%	-0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	13	74%	0.18	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.04	-0.06	5	57%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	11	46%	0.02	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	0.8	24.2	15.7	28.2	1.8	29.0	124.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.1%

LAC +9.5%

DAL -4.1%

DAL -5.7%

LAC +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAC	NBA	DAL	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	13.8	15.6	73.4	93.5	104.4
season	15.9	15.8		99.1	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.7		105.8	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	18.0	19.9	17.7	17.0
LAC	13.3	14.8	15.1	12.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	27	26	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-18	18	16.9	17.0	-0.19	14.2	13.7	0.50
Erick Strickland	48	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-12	6	15.0	19.1	-4.15	12.8	14.9	-2.07
Martin Muursepp	35	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.08	-13	-5	-8	17.5	16.7	0.88	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Derek Harper	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	-5	-8	18.0	15.1	2.92	14.2	13.1	1.07
Greg Dreiling	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-9	0	17.5	16.2	1.36	14.8	12.1	2.74
Michael Finley	84	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-2	-14	17.4	13.9	3.46	14.0	12.3	1.73
A.C. Green	75	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-2	-14	16.9	17.5	-0.67	13.6	14.6	-1.09
Sasha Danilovic	82	82	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	-1	-16	16.6	19.6	-2.97	13.7	14.6	-0.95

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzen Wright	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	9	0	14.2	12.6	1.58	17.4	15.7	1.72
Rodney Rogers	69	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	9	0	13.5	14.6	-1.06	16.1	19.5	-3.32
Bo Outlaw	51	51	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.09	16	2	14	13.2	14.5	-1.33	17.7	16.2	1.48
Malik Sealy	71	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	4	10	13.6	14.3	-0.62	17.0	16.8	0.18
Brent Barry	30	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.10	10	8	2	12.3	14.5	-2.16	17.4	16.8	0.55
Pooh Richardson	16	15	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.01	7	11	-4	13.1	13.9	-0.89	16.8	17.0	-0.23
Loy Vaught	61	63	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.14	11	7	4	14.4	12.7	1.64	17.0	16.9	0.08
Lamond Murray	29	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.11	9	9	0	13.3	14.0	-0.66	16.7	17.1	-0.39
Darrick Martin	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	15	-12	14.3	13.4	0.98	16.2	17.6	-1.40
Eric Piatkowski	22	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	14	-10	14.3	13.6	0.62	16.8	17.0	-0.18
Terry Dehere	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	20	-22	19.3	13.4	5.92	20.4	16.7	3.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, LAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
HOU 96, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
SAC 103, ORL 121	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%