inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 93 Excitement5.5 [712] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +11.2%
Houston Rockets 103 Comeback1.0 [1127] LVPAndre Drummond (DET): -14.2%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greg Monroe0.070,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.010.001359%0.101-0.03683%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00664%0.061-0.042100%0.01
Jodie Meeks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02844%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cartier Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caron Butler-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03939%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Shawne Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.00-0.031136%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00433%-0.0300.004100%0.02
Anthony Tolliver-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08-0.05-0.030.011650%-0.044-0.052100%-0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.04-0.031030%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.17-0.02-0.041623%-0.092-0.0530%-0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.050.022163%0.277-0.161889%0.01
Terrence Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.04-0.031459%0.173-0.061100%0.01
Corey Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.010.041262%0.051-0.0200%0.00
KJ McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Joey Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.020.003100%0.062-0.0700%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.010.01936%-0.0300.004100%0.03
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.020.00333%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Patrick Beverley0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.02-0.041229%-0.072-0.0100%0.00
Donatas Motiejunas0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.03-0.04822%-0.061-0.0220%-0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.030.01729%-0.071-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.21.830.115.725.01.636.6134.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +37.0%
HOU +7.0%
HOU +21.8%
DET -16.2%
HOU +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETHOUNBADETHOUNBA
this game14.713.415.191.2100.0104.2
season15.714.3104.0105.6
opponent14.915.3103.1105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.914.714.014.414.7
HOU14.713.613.711.913.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond67700.01-0.510.52-0.145-152014.215.6-1.3313.513.10.42
Cartier Martin1212-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-223411.515.1-3.6215.313.22.18
Spencer Dinwiddie3131-0.17-0.330.160.01-6-4-214.214.9-0.7212.913.6-0.72
Jodie Meeks4041-0.20-0.300.110.21-144-1814.714.7-0.0312.214.2-1.97
Shawne Williams3435-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-9815.014.50.4612.813.7-0.96
Tayshaun Prince4544-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-3-414.914.50.3814.012.91.11
Caron Butler3940-0.26-0.24-0.020.12-133-1615.014.50.5312.613.9-1.24
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6869-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.372-121414.914.20.7413.812.61.22
Reggie Jackson7172-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.21-4-6214.914.20.7213.612.90.72
Anthony Tolliver4038-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-100-1014.914.60.3413.713.20.44
Greg Monroe6363-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-144-1814.914.40.5013.413.30.09

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden83820.67-0.170.83-0.1528-184613.015.1-2.1614.714.60.06
Joey Dorsey38360.460.040.42-0.0116-62214.412.81.5213.715.2-1.51
Corey Brewer57550.440.060.38-0.1219-92812.314.8-2.5215.114.20.86
Patrick Beverley66650.350.150.200.35010-1013.912.51.3514.515.1-0.56
Josh Smith52520.300.200.10-0.1415-52012.514.3-1.7614.614.8-0.16
Terrence Jones69690.200.30-0.090.1819-812.914.5-1.5915.413.22.28
Jason Terry37360.130.37-0.23-0.161001012.513.9-1.3515.214.40.77
Trevor Ariza57570.030.47-0.440.0019-814.512.12.3515.114.20.93
Pablo Prigioni12120.000.50-0.500.35-1222-3415.313.22.1811.515.1-3.62
KJ McDaniels56-0.000.50-0.510.35-1222-3416.013.32.7216.014.61.39
Donatas Motiejunas3940-0.090.59-0.670.38-1626-4214.612.71.9813.915.2-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 100, PHX 1210.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
SAS 99, CHI 1090.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.1%
DEN 91, POR 1070.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%