NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	92		Excitement	5.4 [579]		MVP	Chris Singleton (WAS): +11.9%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	1.1 [882]		LVP	Brian Cook (WAS): -12.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Singleton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.13	0.01	0.02	8	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	8	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jan Vesely	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	15	51%	0.05	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Cartier Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	57%	0.06	4	-0.12	7	71%	-0.01
Brian Cook	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	10	71%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	15	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	0.06	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	29.2	17.5	27.5	1.0	42.2	141.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.2%

TOR +8.4%

TOR +24.9%

WAS -1.7%

TOR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	18.7	15.6	105.7	112.5	102.8
season	15.0	16.5		99.5	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	15.4	14.0	12.0	14.2
TOR	18.7	19.6	17.9	18.7	18.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-10	13	13.6	15.0	-1.41	18.4	19.1	-0.66
Chris Singleton	61	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-11	15	14.6	13.2	1.36	18.2	20.0	-1.78
Shelvin Mack	19	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	0	-7	12.9	14.5	-1.58	19.5	18.5	0.98
Cartier Martin	25	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	2	-11	13.0	14.7	-1.66	19.3	18.5	0.86
John Wall	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-7	7	14.5	12.9	1.58	18.5	19.5	-0.98
Jan Vesely	60	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-3	-1	15.3	11.8	3.49	19.9	16.1	3.76
Brian Cook	30	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	0	-7	13.8	14.4	-0.59	20.0	18.0	1.95
Kevin Seraphin	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	2	-11	14.1	14.5	-0.48	17.8	21.4	-3.61
Jordan Crawford	55	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	14.0	14.5	-0.55	18.4	19.4	-1.00

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Forbes	44	46	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-5	17	18.7	18.7	0.09	13.4	15.0	-1.64
Ed Davis	36	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	2	3	20.3	17.6	2.66	14.5	13.9	0.60
Amir Johnson	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.25	1	6	-5	18.5	19.0	-0.50	13.5	15.1	-1.53
Alan Anderson	24	22	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	5	-3	18.8	18.7	0.12	13.4	14.5	-1.10
Jose Calderon	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	7	-7	18.3	20.0	-1.70	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Ben Uzoh	21	21	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	0	7	20.0	18.3	1.70	14.2	14.2	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	5	-3	18.0	20.1	-2.14	14.1	14.4	-0.32
Andrea Bargnani	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.21	0	7	-7	18.3	19.5	-1.26	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Aaron Gray	29	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.03	6	1	5	18.6	18.7	-0.13	15.7	13.4	2.21
Linas Kleiza	13	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	4	-1	20.8	18.3	2.42	14.7	14.1	0.56
James Johnson	37	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	10	-13	18.5	18.9	-0.38	15.4	13.3	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.99,1,1	95.0%
TOR 99, SAS 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.98,1,1	94.4%
DET 85, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%