inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 67 Excitement4.2 [945] MVPChauncey Billups (DET): +6.8%
Detroit Pistons 94 Comeback1.6 [1026] LVPDarko Milicic (MEM): -12.8%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stromile Swift0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01267%0.031-0.03540%-0.04
Hakim Warrick0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremy Richardson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.070.00-0.0730%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Casey Jacobsen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0640%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andre Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05337%0.002-0.00250%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.01-0.03533%0.011-0.03875%0.01
Juan Carlos Navarro-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00455%0.022-0.05367%-0.01
Mike Miller-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.01667%0.034-0.0800%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.020.031749%0.023-0.08367%-0.00
Damon Stoudamire-0.060,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.01462%0.023-0.0900%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.011433%-0.071-0.032100%0.01
Darko Milicic-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.02-0.00425%-0.044-0.0900%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.03-0.031045%0.0700.001191%0.05
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.11-0.000.04480%0.0600.00786%0.02
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.000.01360%0.0100.004100%0.01
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.011447%0.0100.002100%0.01
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02267%0.0000.0020%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.001050%0.022-0.04250%-0.01
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01939%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02743%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.020.021453%0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.730.716.726.52.729.0133.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +3.1%
DET +8.9%
DET +5.0%
DET +33.8%
MEM -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDETNBAMEMDETNBA
this game16.515.715.474.4105.6105.7
season14.916.8103.3108.8
opponent15.814.9101.3109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.517.315.618.616.5
DET16.116.216.414.115.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stromile Swift22220.12-0.620.750.062-293117.816.01.7316.015.60.45
Hakim Warrick1312-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-211518.216.21.9712.516.2-3.71
Jeremy Richardson1716-0.01-0.490.490.23-8-191118.116.11.9612.516.4-3.91
Andre Brown1717-0.01-0.490.470.28-10-17718.116.11.9612.016.6-4.58
Casey Jacobsen2120-0.04-0.460.420.34-13-14118.515.82.6812.716.6-3.88
Juan Carlos Navarro2828-0.16-0.340.19-0.10-2-252316.216.6-0.3718.914.24.65
Darko Milicic4748-0.26-0.24-0.030.03-10-17716.216.7-0.4916.015.40.63
Kyle Lowry6462-0.28-0.22-0.050.28-19-8-1116.716.00.6614.917.6-2.65
Damon Stoudamire3333-0.32-0.18-0.140.03-12-15316.016.7-0.7417.014.92.05
Mike Miller6060-0.45-0.05-0.410.10-19-8-1116.316.8-0.5516.114.81.31
Pau Gasol6060-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.01-16-11-515.518.5-3.0016.214.71.51
Rudy Gay6867-0.620.12-0.740.03-22-5-1715.619.0-3.3516.513.23.30

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince57570.52-0.020.55-0.00189916.813.73.0615.518.2-2.66
Chauncey Billups57570.51-0.010.530.021710716.414.51.8415.318.5-3.14
Antonio McDyess59590.440.060.390.001512316.813.63.1815.717.9-2.24
Rasheed Wallace58570.330.170.16-0.171710715.216.7-1.4916.616.30.31
Richard Hamilton51510.300.200.100.04918-916.314.91.4616.616.30.33
Jason Maxiell25260.200.30-0.10-0.091017-717.015.21.8516.116.6-0.55
Arron Afflalo38390.200.30-0.10-0.33189914.916.3-1.4616.316.6-0.33
Jarvis Hayes33350.020.48-0.46-0.301116-513.816.8-2.9617.815.62.18
Primoz Brezec12130.000.50-0.50-0.18621-1512.516.2-3.7118.216.21.97
Rodney Stuckey12130.000.50-0.50-0.18621-1512.516.2-3.7118.216.21.97
Lindsey Hunter2020-0.010.51-0.53-0.13423-1915.715.70.0518.615.82.81
Amir Johnson2323-0.020.52-0.53-0.13423-1914.416.2-1.7218.015.92.12


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 76, SAS 930.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
CHA 89, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.3%
LAL 102, NOP 1090.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.1%