NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	4.7 [704]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +5.9%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	1.9 [598]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -15.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.04	9	78%	0.15	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	10	55%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	11	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	11	45%	0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	14	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	14	36%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.03	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Matt Bonner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Dentmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	17	57%	0.09	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	6	44%	0.02	5	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.8	29.3	15.7	23.4	2.6	25.3	121.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +25.2%

SAS +7.8%

SAS +1.4%

SAS +18.4%

PHI -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	15.6	76.8	93.0	102.8
season	15.6	15.3		101.0	109.1
opponent	15.2	16.1		101.5	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	12.6	15.9	15.8	14.6
SAS	14.2	13.5	15.4	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	27	28	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-25	33	13.2	15.2	-1.94	14.3	14.3	0.02
Louis Williams	59	60	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-20	23	14.0	15.6	-1.57	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Thaddeus Young	53	52	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-17	17	14.7	14.6	0.13	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Sam Young	62	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-11	5	14.4	15.1	-0.75	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Jodie Meeks	53	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-8	-1	14.2	15.2	-1.04	15.0	13.4	1.57
Elton Brand	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-1	-15	14.9	14.4	0.54	15.2	13.5	1.67
Jrue Holiday	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.11	-22	5	-27	15.3	13.4	1.87	14.6	13.9	0.67
Evan Turner	75	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	4	-25	14.8	14.2	0.57	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Spencer Hawes	55	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	0.08	-22	5	-27	15.5	13.5	2.00	14.3	14.3	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	53	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.08	23	-6	29	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.5	13.5	2.07
Tony Parker	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	-4	25	14.0	14.8	-0.75	15.4	13.1	2.23
DeJuan Blair	63	63	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	1	15	14.3	14.4	-0.11	15.3	13.5	1.83
Manu Ginobili	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	11	-5	14.3	14.4	-0.12	14.9	14.3	0.57
Boris Diaw	56	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	5	7	13.8	14.9	-1.07	14.6	14.6	0.00
Danny Green	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	1	15	14.2	14.4	-0.19	14.4	15.0	-0.61
Kawhi Leonard	68	64	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	12	-7	15.4	11.9	3.49	13.8	16.1	-2.29
Stephen Jackson	44	43	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	19	-21	13.7	14.8	-1.08	14.3	14.9	-0.59
James Anderson	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	12.3	14.5	-2.17	12.4	14.9	-2.41
Justin Dentmon	27	24	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	26	-35	15.0	14.0	1.00	12.4	15.4	-2.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.7,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 67, DET 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.78,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SAC 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.0%
MIL 93, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.8%