NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	90		Excitement	4.6 [862]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +7.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.4 [740]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -21.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	70%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.03	0.06	18	49%	-0.07	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Doug Christie	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.01	-0.02	13	30%	-0.11	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	26	39%	-0.09	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	26	66%	0.17	5	-0.10	13	54%	-0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	5	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	19	56%	0.06	4	-0.07	10	90%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-0.05	13	20%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.0	29.1	20.4	30.5	3.3	37.6	151.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.4%

SAC -0.3%

LAL +14.5%

SAC -5.3%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAL	NBA	SAC	LAL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	15.5	90.9	97.0	100.9
season	14.4	15.6		103.1	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.6	13.9	15.8	14.2	14.1
LAL	14.0	16.1	13.5	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-18	30	14.2	14.1	0.13	16.4	14.5	1.85
Scot Pollard	41	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.42	13	-19	32	13.7	14.4	-0.71	16.3	14.0	2.29
Bobby Jackson	66	67	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.42	12	-18	30	14.0	14.4	-0.36	15.2	14.4	0.79
Hedo Turkoglu	36	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-6	6	14.2	14.1	0.07	15.0	14.9	0.09
Peja Stojakovic	83	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	14.1	14.0	0.14	15.0	14.9	0.04
Vlade Divac	44	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.06	-16	10	-26	13.9	14.3	-0.38	13.9	15.8	-1.92
Jason Williams	33	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	12	-30	14.4	14.0	0.36	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Chris Webber	99	99	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	14.1	0.0	14.12	15.0	0.0	14.97
Doug Christie	70	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	0.08	-23	17	-40	14.4	13.4	1.00	14.3	16.5	-2.15

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-13	32	14.4	16.4	-2.00	14.3	13.7	0.55
Kobe Bryant	97	97	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-4	14	14.9	20.5	-5.64	14.2	9.5	4.72
Derek Fisher	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-4	14	14.7	15.8	-1.11	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Shaquille O'Neal	96	96	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	4	-2	15.1	12.3	2.72	14.3	7.7	6.66
Rick Fox	77	77	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	0	6	15.1	14.4	0.72	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Brian Shaw	29	29	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.01	6	0	6	14.5	15.2	-0.64	14.1	14.1	0.02
Ron Harper	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	10	-14	15.7	14.9	0.85	15.0	14.0	0.99
Mark Madsen	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	6	-6	19.0	14.9	4.07	0.0	14.3	-14.27
Devean George	2	2	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	20.5	14.9	5.64	9.5	14.2	-4.72
Robert Horry	32	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.16	-9	15	-24	15.9	14.5	1.38	13.6	14.4	-0.77
Tyronn Lue	7	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	12	-18	16.9	14.8	2.03	15.5	14.0	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, PHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 84, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
MIL 93, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%