NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	4.0 [988]		MVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): +11.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.1 [1233]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -26.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.09	1	-0.00	7	100%	0.03
Cal Bowdler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.07	8	37%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Drew Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	10	46%	-0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.22,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.18	-0.08	0.01	9	32%	-0.13	5	-0.14	4	25%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	11	78%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	90%	0.08	4	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	25	53%	0.00	4	-0.08	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.6	26.0	14.8	26.2	2.7	29.1	122.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +35.2%

PHI +8.4%

PHI +10.7%

ATL -6.4%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.9	14.9	15.2	95.6	117.6	101.7
season	15.4	15.0		99.3	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.2		98.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	20.2	17.8	16.9	13.4	16.9
PHI	15.0	16.5	12.4	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roshown McLeod	36	38	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.18	-6	-15	9	14.9	18.3	-3.42	16.1	14.1	2.03
Dion Glover	46	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	-14	7	14.8	19.1	-4.22	16.0	13.9	2.09
Drew Barry	18	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-22	23	13.4	17.8	-4.33	17.0	14.4	2.62
Cal Bowdler	47	49	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.09	-5	-16	11	15.1	18.9	-3.82	15.0	14.8	0.17
Dikembe Mutombo	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-9	-3	18.2	12.0	6.23	15.6	12.7	2.87
Bimbo Coles	50	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-10	-1	18.9	14.4	4.52	14.3	15.7	-1.47
LaPhonso Ellis	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-4	-13	17.1	16.5	0.52	14.0	17.0	-3.01
Jason Terry	66	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.21	-25	4	-29	17.8	14.5	3.23	14.1	17.2	-3.05
Alan Henderson	52	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.05	-23	2	-25	18.0	15.4	2.58	14.2	15.9	-1.71

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.03	22	-1	23	15.6	12.9	2.66	18.3	12.5	5.78
Allen Iverson	75	75	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-4	29	14.9	15.1	-0.24	17.7	13.2	4.45
Toni Kukoc	65	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-1	23	14.2	16.7	-2.42	17.3	16.0	1.26
Theo Ratliff	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.01	16	5	11	14.1	16.6	-2.51	17.8	15.2	2.67
Eric Snow	61	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	8	5	15.0	14.8	0.23	18.1	14.3	3.84
Aaron McKie	31	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	20	-19	17.5	13.6	3.83	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Jumaine Jones	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	13.8	15.1	-1.34	14.1	17.4	-3.36
Todd MacCulloch	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.2	15.2	-3.00	10.1	17.7	-7.56
Nazr Mohammed	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	20	-19	12.0	15.2	-3.17	8.7	17.5	-8.83
Antonio Lang	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	13.2	15.0	-1.75	8.7	17.2	-8.53
Kevin Ollie	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	18	-15	14.4	15.1	-0.68	13.2	18.0	-4.79
Matt Geiger	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.11	1	20	-19	16.3	14.0	2.36	15.9	17.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
VAN 83, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAC 90, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	95.5%