NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	112		Excitement	2.3 [1107]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +10.5%
Atlanta Hawks	86		Comeback	1.0 [1109]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -9.2%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	63%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	8	100%	0.10	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	19	61%	0.13	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	8	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	14	32%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	6	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.17	-0.00	0.19	10	87%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	35%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	27.3	14.7	24.3	2.4	24.5	119.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +33.8%

MIL +3.9%

MIL +1.8%

MIL +8.7%

MIL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	ATL	NBA	MIL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.1	13.7	14.2	103.7	80.4	109.6
season	13.2	13.8		111.0	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.1		113.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	13.4	13.3	12.7	13.1
ATL	15.1	14.8	12.4	12.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	58	58	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.47	34	-8	42	12.3	14.0	-1.71	14.1	13.2	0.86
Donte DiVincenzo	54	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.48	33	-7	40	11.5	14.7	-3.17	14.0	13.3	0.76
Brook Lopez	54	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.38	27	-1	28	13.0	13.3	-0.31	13.8	13.5	0.35
Wesley Matthews	46	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.44	29	-3	32	11.8	14.1	-2.37	13.6	13.7	-0.16
Ersan Ilyasova	57	57	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.69	37	-11	48	12.0	14.4	-2.41	14.2	13.1	1.04
Sterling Brown	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	30	-34	14.1	12.1	2.02	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Kyle Korver	37	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	30	-34	13.8	12.8	0.97	14.4	13.3	1.08
George Hill	42	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	32	-38	15.2	11.8	3.39	13.5	13.8	-0.32
D.J. Wilson	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.18	-6	32	-38	14.0	12.8	1.14	12.3	14.1	-1.84
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	12.8	13.2	-0.36	12.4	13.9	-1.48
Pat Connaughton	48	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	29	-32	14.4	12.1	2.22	13.6	13.7	-0.09
Robin Lopez	46	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	27	-28	13.7	12.7	0.93	13.2	14.0	-0.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	15.9	13.0	2.88	15.0	12.5	2.50
Brandon Goodwin	32	33	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-32	38	11.8	14.5	-2.61	13.4	13.0	0.39
Evan Turner	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-22	18	12.3	14.1	-1.78	12.6	13.3	-0.72
Chandler Parsons	26	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.31	-11	-15	4	12.2	14.1	-1.96	12.6	13.3	-0.70
Allen Crabbe	46	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-26	26	13.0	14.2	-1.18	13.5	12.8	0.65
Damian Jones	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-24	22	12.7	14.3	-1.62	14.0	12.6	1.36
Bruno Fernando	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-23	20	13.7	13.7	0.01	13.1	13.1	-0.06
DeAndre' Bembry	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-27	28	13.8	13.6	0.20	14.0	12.8	1.28
Kevin Huerter	57	58	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-26	26	14.6	12.7	1.90	13.8	12.3	1.49
Cam Reddish	67	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.26	-19	-7	-12	14.0	13.1	0.84	13.5	12.5	1.01
John Collins	61	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.54	-34	8	-42	13.9	13.3	0.57	12.4	14.0	-1.62
Trae Young	36	36	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	-1	-24	14.2	13.4	0.83	11.9	13.7	-1.85
De'Andre Hunter	53	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.57	-36	10	-46	14.4	13.0	1.36	11.5	14.7	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
GSW 81, DEN 69	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIN 119, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%