NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Excitement	2.8 [1222]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +12.7%
Chicago Bulls	94		Comeback	1.0 [1035]		LVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): -13.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.00	0.05	6	87%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	19	62%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	13	69%	0.10	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	9	76%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Nunnally	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	15	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	60%	-0.02	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	29%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.21	0.00	0.08	17	68%	0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.03	11	55%	-0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	13	22%	-0.08	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	0.03	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.03	11	9%	-0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.5	26.5	15.3	24.3	1.8	29.2	120.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.3%

CHI -0.1%

MIN +7.8%

MIN +4.9%

MIN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.9	14.3	120.2	95.9	109.3
season	14.4	14.6		110.2	104.2
opponent	14.3	14.0		112.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.2	14.3	16.1	15.1	14.4
CHI	16.2	14.5	15.2	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.36	30	-5	35	14.2	14.7	-0.54	15.6	13.1	2.50
Derrick Rose	79	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.12	19	6	13	14.3	14.6	-0.31	15.2	13.9	1.25
Robert Covington	74	75	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.26	23	2	21	14.7	13.3	1.44	15.0	14.4	0.65
Andrew Wiggins	66	63	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	14	-3	14.0	15.2	-1.20	16.0	12.9	3.03
Taj Gibson	53	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.35	23	2	21	13.9	14.9	-0.96	16.0	13.6	2.34
Tyus Jones	43	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.17	12	13	-1	15.0	13.8	1.23	13.4	16.1	-2.72
Dario Saric	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	21	-17	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.1	15.4	-1.33
Josh Okogie	30	30	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.22	12	13	-1	13.4	14.8	-1.42	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Jerryd Bayless	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.2	14.3	0.89	9.8	15.2	-5.36
Anthony Tolliver	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.2	14.3	0.89	9.8	15.2	-5.36
James Nunnally	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	15.2	14.3	0.89	9.8	15.2	-5.36
Gorgui Dieng	25	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	28	-31	14.6	14.3	0.38	13.8	15.2	-1.38

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Blakeney	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	10.6	15.5	-4.93	13.2	14.5	-1.26
Cameron Payne	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-20	15	10.2	15.4	-5.14	12.8	14.5	-1.73
Cristiano Felicio	13	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	10.6	15.5	-4.93	13.2	14.5	-1.26
Zach LaVine	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-23	21	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.6	14.0	0.57
Shaquille Harrison	49	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-15	5	13.6	16.2	-2.55	14.4	14.3	0.19
Ryan Arcidiacono	54	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-18	11	15.9	13.7	2.19	14.7	13.9	0.84
Robin Lopez	40	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.13	-12	-13	1	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.4	14.3	0.02
Chandler Hutchison	31	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	-12	-1	14.2	15.2	-1.02	15.1	14.0	1.11
Wendell Carter Jr.	45	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-14	3	16.2	13.8	2.34	14.6	14.1	0.52
Lauri Markkanen	64	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.13	-18	-7	-11	15.7	13.4	2.26	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Justin Holiday	59	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	-5	-15	15.4	14.2	1.22	14.4	14.2	0.24
Kris Dunn	60	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.23	-23	-2	-21	15.5	13.8	1.71	14.4	14.3	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
MIN 104, VAN 91	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
CLE 94, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%