NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	2.4 [1249]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +9.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	74		Comeback	1.0 [590]		LVP	Gerald Wallace (CHA): -14.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.01	0.08	9	85%	0.12	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
LeBron James	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.02	17	60%	0.10	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Delonte West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	1	0%	0.00	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
JJ Hickson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	5	85%	0.06	4	-0.05	10	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Sean May	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.18	-0.00	-0.04	6	7%	-0.08	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.4	27.5	15.7	25.3	2.6	33.0	137.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.2%

CLE +7.1%

CLE +4.0%

CLE +4.9%

CLE +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	16.3	15.5	105.6	83.1	106.4
season	16.9	16.5		110.6	103.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		104.5	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	15.9	18.7	16.8	16.1
CHA	15.4	18.4	16.5	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	55	55	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.37	31	-11	42	15.4	17.1	-1.70	15.8	17.0	-1.19
LeBron James	51	52	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.31	27	-7	34	16.1	16.1	0.03	15.9	16.8	-0.84
Ben Wallace	39	39	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.21	21	-1	22	15.4	16.6	-1.17	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	38	39	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	3	14	16.2	16.0	0.25	17.2	15.6	1.58
Daniel Gibson	57	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.15	14	6	8	16.0	16.2	-0.19	16.9	15.3	1.66
Mo Williams	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	12	-4	17.4	14.7	2.65	17.3	15.3	2.01
Anderson Varejao	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	12	-4	16.4	15.8	0.56	17.3	15.4	1.88
Wally Szczerbiak	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	20	-20	17.7	15.1	2.63	15.8	16.6	-0.75
Sasha Pavlovic	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	26	-32	15.1	16.6	-1.49	16.7	16.1	0.59
Darnell Jackson	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	26	-32	16.8	15.8	0.96	15.2	16.7	-1.47
Tarence Kinsey	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	28	-36	13.9	16.3	-2.41	11.5	16.8	-5.27
JJ Hickson	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	26	-32	14.7	16.6	-1.89	15.0	16.8	-1.85

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Carroll	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	15.2	16.7	-1.47	16.5	15.9	0.51
Alexis Ajinca	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	15.2	16.7	-1.47	16.5	15.9	0.51
Shannon Brown	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-25	30	15.2	16.6	-1.44	16.6	15.9	0.66
Adam Morrison	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-18	16	18.5	15.7	2.77	18.6	15.4	3.19
Dwayne Jones	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-27	34	17.0	15.9	1.06	15.8	16.2	-0.35
D.J. Augustin	54	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-21	22	16.4	16.1	0.34	16.2	15.9	0.30
Jared Dudley	36	35	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	0.09	-10	-10	0	17.9	15.2	2.73	18.7	14.3	4.41
Sean May	31	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-5	-10	16.1	16.4	-0.25	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Raymond Felton	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	3	-26	16.6	15.6	1.04	16.1	16.0	0.10
Gerald Wallace	42	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.21	-23	3	-26	15.5	17.0	-1.45	13.7	18.2	-4.49
Jason Richardson	49	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	4	-28	16.0	16.7	-0.70	15.0	17.4	-2.47
Emeka Okafor	59	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.31	-28	8	-36	15.9	17.1	-1.17	16.1	15.9	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
MIN 119, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%