NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	109		Excitement	2.0 [1304]		MVP	Michael Finley (SAS): +11.0%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	1.1 [579]		LVP	Jerome James (NYK): -5.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.00	0.05	12	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	90%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Parker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	10	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	7	57%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	54%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	14	71%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	0%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	56%	0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	61%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	58%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	71%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	58%	0.02	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	7	58%	0.00	3	-0.05	10	80%	-0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	27.2	15.7	33.3	2.5	27.4	132.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.4%

NYK -2.1%

SAS +6.5%

SAS +2.0%

SAS +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	NYK	NBA	SAS	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	14.0	15.6	114.7	101.1	104.4
season	16.3	15.7		106.0	102.1
opponent	15.4	15.6		108.7	99.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.0	17.0	14.5	16.3	16.3
NYK	15.6	15.8	13.8	11.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	56	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.52	37	-24	61	16.5	16.1	0.45	15.4	11.8	3.54
Bruce Bowen	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.31	27	-14	41	16.5	16.1	0.35	16.5	11.0	5.52
Rasho Nesterovic	32	33	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	2	9	15.9	16.5	-0.66	15.2	13.4	1.86
Brent Barry	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	11	-9	15.6	17.8	-2.22	13.1	16.0	-2.88
Robert Horry	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.21	16	-3	19	15.7	16.8	-1.11	14.8	13.4	1.42
Nazr Mohammed	25	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.15	13	0	13	17.7	15.8	1.91	14.7	13.8	0.95
Michael Finley	49	47	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.21	14	-1	15	17.1	15.5	1.54	14.0	14.0	0.08
Tim Duncan	41	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	3	7	17.7	15.3	2.41	14.6	13.6	1.04
Fabricio Oberto	30	30	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.19	-6	19	-25	14.9	17.0	-2.02	12.8	14.6	-1.80
Beno Udrih	26	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.53	-18	31	-49	16.3	16.3	-0.01	11.4	15.0	-3.60
Sean Marks	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.53	-18	31	-49	15.9	16.5	-0.59	10.7	15.1	-4.42
Nick Van Exel	38	36	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.60	-23	36	-59	16.1	16.5	-0.39	11.6	15.5	-3.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Qyntel Woods	29	31	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.54	21	-34	55	10.9	15.4	-4.52	16.6	16.2	0.39
Jackie Butler	26	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-20	27	12.5	14.6	-2.07	14.8	16.9	-2.12
David Lee	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-11	9	12.6	14.8	-2.24	13.8	17.9	-4.19
Maurice Taylor	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	14.7	13.8	0.89	17.5	16.1	1.41
Malik Rose	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	14.1	14.0	0.07	16.5	16.3	0.22
Antonio Davis	35	36	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-3	-7	13.6	14.2	-0.59	17.8	15.4	2.35
Channing Frye	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-12	11	13.4	14.8	-1.37	17.2	15.2	2.06
Jamal Crawford	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.41	5	-18	23	13.2	16.3	-3.10	16.2	16.6	-0.36
Trevor Ariza	61	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-8	3	14.7	12.7	2.02	15.9	16.9	-0.97
Jerome James	20	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.15	-18	5	-23	18.3	12.9	5.45	16.4	16.3	0.07
Quentin Richardson	44	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.34	-28	15	-43	15.7	12.6	3.09	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Stephon Marbury	64	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.29	-28	15	-43	15.0	12.0	2.97	17.0	15.0	1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, CHA 74	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
LAL 103, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIL 131, WAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%