NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	131		Excitement	2.8 [1221]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +13.5%
Washington Wizards	115		Comeback	1.3 [1071]		LVP	Chasson Randle (WAS): -5.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.19	0.00	0.05	9	95%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	0.01	0.08	20	65%	0.12	4	-0.04	17	100%	0.04
George Hill	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	14	71%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	0.00	0.07	5	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	60%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sterling Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	7	21%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	56%	-0.00	1	0.00	6	33%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.02	17	49%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	16	60%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	46%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.13	14	60%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	31.0	13.8	28.8	0.7	24.3	125.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.0%

MIL +7.7%

MIL +3.3%

MIL +0.5%

MIL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	14.8	12.4	14.3	123.6	108.5	109.3
season	13.5	13.8		112.4	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	12.7	13.3	16.9	16.6	14.8
WAS	12.1	13.3	11.4	12.7	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	68	69	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-12	40	14.4	15.4	-1.04	11.7	13.6	-1.94
Brook Lopez	62	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.38	31	-15	46	14.0	15.9	-1.96	12.5	12.2	0.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	73	73	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.25	21	-5	26	13.4	17.8	-4.41	13.0	11.1	1.93
George Hill	51	49	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.03	10	6	4	14.3	15.2	-0.90	12.6	12.2	0.31
Malcolm Brogdon	58	60	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	4	8	15.5	14.0	1.51	12.5	12.3	0.22
D.J. Wilson	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	18	-20	16.2	13.6	2.61	11.9	12.8	-0.88
Tony Snell	53	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.45	21	-5	26	14.8	14.8	-0.02	13.9	10.9	3.05
Pat Connaughton	55	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	19	-22	14.5	15.1	-0.53	13.6	11.1	2.46
Sterling Brown	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.65	-18	34	-52	16.6	13.7	2.86	9.4	14.1	-4.79
Christian Wood	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	25	-34	17.2	14.6	2.67	7.7	12.8	-5.02
Ersan Ilyasova	15	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.26	-11	27	-38	15.7	14.6	1.11	13.3	12.2	1.04

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	7.7	12.8	-5.02	17.2	14.6	2.67
John Jenkins	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-25	34	7.7	12.8	-5.02	17.2	14.6	2.67
Jordan McRae	27	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-17	18	12.3	12.4	-0.12	17.1	14.0	3.11
Sam Dekker	36	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-25	34	13.4	11.9	1.52	15.6	14.3	1.29
Chasson Randle	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-18	20	13.8	11.8	2.02	13.8	15.2	-1.33
Tomas Satoransky	55	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	10.9	13.9	-3.00	15.2	14.3	0.94
Thomas Bryant	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.39	-24	8	-32	12.9	12.0	0.88	12.8	16.1	-3.35
Jeff Green	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-8	0	13.0	10.9	2.08	15.0	14.3	0.68
Bradley Beal	84	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	1	-18	12.2	13.1	-0.95	15.0	14.1	0.83
Otto Porter Jr.	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.25	-25	9	-34	12.4	12.2	0.26	14.1	16.7	-2.67
Trevor Ariza	87	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.30	-27	11	-38	12.6	11.4	1.24	14.5	16.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
BOS 114, DEN 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%