NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	2.3 [1260]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +9.4%
Denver Nuggets	76		Comeback	1.1 [796]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): -11.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.18	0.01	0.09	15	76%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	7	74%	0.08	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.06	18	58%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Leon Powe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	13	47%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.03
Brian Scalabrine	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Giddens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	7	56%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	45%	-0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	5	21%	-0.03	2	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	15	50%	0.01	4	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	-0.06	8	18%	-0.06	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.7	31.3	16.3	24.4	2.0	31.0	135.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +34.3%

BOS +0.1%

BOS +8.3%

BOS +7.0%

BOS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DEN	NBA	BOS	DEN	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.5	125.3	82.6	106.4
season	15.8	14.4		108.3	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	17.5	18.1	16.8	16.8
DEN	14.6	15.3	13.8	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	64	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	11	16	17.0	16.1	0.94	14.5	15.3	-0.82
Rajon Rondo	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.33	25	13	12	15.9	18.5	-2.55	14.6	14.9	-0.28
Ray Allen	63	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.48	30	8	22	15.9	18.7	-2.76	15.0	14.1	0.81
Glen Davis	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	22	-6	18.2	15.0	3.20	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Kendrick Perkins	52	54	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.51	27	11	16	15.6	18.4	-2.78	14.8	14.7	0.10
Leon Powe	53	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.39	21	17	4	17.6	15.7	1.91	15.3	13.9	1.33
Brian Scalabrine	23	24	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	27	-16	14.6	17.5	-2.95	15.0	14.6	0.44
Eddie House	30	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.28	14	24	-10	17.2	16.6	0.59	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Gabe Pruitt	32	33	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.29	13	25	-12	18.5	15.8	2.72	14.1	15.1	-0.93
Henry Walker	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	33	-28	16.9	16.7	0.16	14.9	14.7	0.28
J.R. Giddens	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	37	-36	18.7	16.6	2.17	15.3	14.7	0.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sonny Weems	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-37	36	15.3	14.7	0.62	18.7	16.6	2.17
Dahntay Jones	37	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.38	-17	-21	4	14.4	15.0	-0.61	16.3	17.1	-0.79
Anthony Carter	32	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.37	-17	-21	4	14.3	14.9	-0.57	17.4	16.5	0.89
Linas Kleiza	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.42	-22	-16	-6	14.7	14.7	0.02	17.2	16.3	0.88
Johan Petro	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.20	-15	-23	8	14.5	14.9	-0.36	16.4	17.0	-0.57
Chris Andersen	39	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.44	-24	-14	-10	15.2	14.4	0.80	17.1	16.6	0.47
Kenyon Martin	54	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-23	8	14.7	14.7	0.06	16.4	17.4	-0.98
Carmelo Anthony	62	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-19	0	14.5	15.2	-0.67	16.5	17.3	-0.80
J.R. Smith	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.30	-22	-16	-6	14.8	14.5	0.31	17.2	14.8	2.47
Chauncey Billups	66	64	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.54	-38	0	-38	15.0	14.0	1.00	16.3	17.9	-1.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 108, ORL 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
GSW 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
OKC 116, WAS 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%