NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	108		Excitement	2.1 [1288]		MVP	Quincy Pondexter (MEM): +6.8%
Orlando Magic	82		Comeback	1.0 [1252]		LVP	Tobias Harris (ORL): -9.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Pondexter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Tony Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	48%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	6	86%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	67%	0.01	4	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05
Jon Leuer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dexter Pittman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	22%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	46%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	6	92%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	6	60%	0.00	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	4	17%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	14	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	26.3	15.0	25.2	0.2	27.6	122.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +39.0%

ORL -1.5%

MEM +1.9%

MEM +10.6%

MEM +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	16.5	16.0	15.4	122.7	92.1	104.1
season	16.5	15.5		102.9	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	15.7	19.6	15.7	16.5
ORL	17.2	18.6	15.6	13.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	63	64	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.42	31	-5	36	16.5	16.6	-0.09	17.0	13.6	3.35
Mike Conley	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.23	23	3	20	16.1	17.0	-0.91	17.9	14.1	3.75
Tayshaun Prince	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.21	19	7	12	16.6	16.4	0.25	17.1	14.6	2.53
Ed Davis	43	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.15	17	9	8	16.3	16.8	-0.45	17.6	14.4	3.17
Quincy Pondexter	39	39	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.32	21	5	16	16.4	16.7	-0.27	16.7	15.5	1.26
Tony Allen	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.03	8	18	-10	17.0	16.2	0.76	17.0	15.3	1.77
Darrell Arthur	16	16	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	19	-12	16.5	16.5	-0.04	19.2	15.3	3.87
Jerryd Bayless	47	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	20	-14	17.1	15.9	1.14	14.2	18.1	-3.87
Tony Wroten	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	22	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.49	14.5	17.0	-2.51
Jon Leuer	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	24	-22	17.4	16.0	1.38	13.1	17.7	-4.69
Dexter Pittman	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	31	-36	15.8	16.8	-1.01	12.0	17.2	-5.25
Austin Daye	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	29	-32	15.7	16.7	-1.00	10.5	16.9	-6.37

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-25	24	13.1	17.1	-4.02	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Kyle O'Quinn	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-25	24	13.1	17.1	-4.02	15.7	16.9	-1.19
DeQuan Jones	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-25	24	13.1	17.1	-4.02	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Al Harrington	35	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-19	12	15.2	16.5	-1.34	17.2	16.2	0.99
Beno Udrih	32	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-16	6	15.0	16.6	-1.63	17.6	16.0	1.57
Tobias Harris	39	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-12	-2	16.7	15.5	1.17	17.4	15.9	1.47
E'Twaun Moore	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-12	-2	15.8	16.4	-0.60	16.0	18.0	-2.07
Arron Afflalo	56	53	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.13	-17	-9	-8	16.4	15.3	1.08	17.4	15.2	2.22
Nikola Vucevic	40	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-7	-12	18.1	14.3	3.84	16.3	16.8	-0.52
Andrew Nicholson	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.23	-22	-4	-18	17.2	14.6	2.56	15.6	17.7	-2.13
Maurice Harkless	55	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.24	-24	-2	-22	17.8	13.1	4.78	17.0	15.7	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 86, TOR 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
DEN 124, MIN 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
UTA 103, MEM 74	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%