NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	116		Excitement	9.5 [118]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +34.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	119		Comeback	3.7 [388]		LVP	Jeremy Lamb (IND): -32.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.24	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.03	19	71%	0.44	3	-0.21	3	100%	0.13
Doug McDermott	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	-0.00	4	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.07	0.01	5	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.05	0.11	-0.03	0.03	15	74%	0.20	4	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	7	65%	0.09	5	-0.17	6	83%	-0.00
Myles Turner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	8	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.15,0.15,-0.07,-0.32	-0.01	-0.30	0.01	9	62%	0.07	4	-0.40	6	67%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.15	0.01	15	71%	0.43	2	-0.08	15	100%	0.17
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.31	0.31	0.05	0.26	-0.00	16	58%	0.53	2	-0.22	6	83%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.01	9	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.02	8	94%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	13	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.18	0.00	7	56%	-0.05	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	1.8	26.5	15.4	24.5	2.4	39.5	137.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +2.5%

PHI +8.2%

PHI +6.7%

PHI +34.2%

IND -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.2	116.0	117.8	109.6
season	14.4	14.8		108.7	110.0
opponent	14.1	14.4		108.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	11.9	15.9	14.3	14.2
PHI	14.2	15.8	14.1	14.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goga Bitadze	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-2	1	12.8	14.3	-1.50	12.0	14.9	-2.88
T.J. McConnell	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	1	-5	12.1	14.8	-2.66	17.3	13.7	3.57
Doug McDermott	39	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	13.0	14.9	-1.89	15.8	13.7	2.14
Myles Turner	61	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.34	6	-9	15	14.8	13.1	1.72	14.0	15.2	-1.20
Aaron Holiday	26	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	1	-5	12.9	14.6	-1.66	17.3	13.6	3.69
Jeremy Lamb	70	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-8	13	14.6	13.0	1.60	13.8	16.3	-2.53
Malcolm Brogdon	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-2	1	14.6	12.5	2.17	13.7	17.6	-3.87
T.J. Warren	68	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	14.8	12.7	2.10	13.4	16.9	-3.53
Justin Holiday	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	12.7	16.2	-3.52	14.9	13.9	1.03
Domantas Sabonis	64	65	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	9	-21	15.2	12.2	3.01	15.2	13.2	2.04

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	70	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-5	13	14.1	15.4	-1.32	14.5	13.2	1.25
Tobias Harris	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	14.7	13.9	0.84	14.6	12.9	1.71
Ben Simmons	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	2	-1	13.7	17.6	-3.87	14.6	12.5	2.17
James Ennis III	56	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	5	-7	14.2	14.9	-0.73	13.7	14.7	-0.98
Al Horford	67	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	1	1	14.0	15.5	-1.50	14.9	12.7	2.25
Mike Scott	46	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	2	-1	15.5	13.7	1.75	13.3	14.8	-1.48
Raul Neto	21	22	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	1	1	17.6	13.7	3.87	12.5	14.6	-2.17
Matisse Thybulle	44	42	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	0	3	14.6	14.4	0.23	13.0	15.0	-1.94
Furkan Korkmaz	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	8	-13	14.8	14.2	0.59	14.1	14.2	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.29,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	92.2%
MIA 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.39,0.29,0.67,0.74,1	92.1%
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	91.7%