NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	104		Excitement	10.6 [57]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +67.3%
Toronto Raptors	106		Comeback	2.5 [542]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Willie Green	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.11	0.20	0.00	7	86%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.17	-0.00	0.17	-0.01	26	55%	0.43	7	-0.26	12	83%	0.08
Steven Hunter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	4	100%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.15
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.22,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	19	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	9	56%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.67	0.67	0.15	0.54	0.02	18	63%	0.71	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	9	70%	0.18	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.17	-0.01	8	59%	0.27	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.08
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	12	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.08	-0.03	12	39%	0.12	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.14
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	26.4	15.3	27.3	1.8	40.2	136.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +25.2%

TOR +1.8%

TOR +3.3%

TOR +16.3%

TOR +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	13.2	15.4	106.1	109.3	104.5
season	15.5	15.2		101.7	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		104.1	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	15.4	17.1	15.7	16.3
TOR	12.2	14.6	12.4	13.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	44	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-4	6	17.1	15.7	1.43	13.9	12.7	1.17
Chris Webber	72	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-12	22	16.5	15.8	0.65	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Shavlik Randolph	4	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	0	-2	21.0	16.1	4.87	7.0	13.5	-6.46
Samuel Dalembert	66	67	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	1	-4	16.8	15.3	1.46	13.2	13.2	-0.05
Kyle Korver	60	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	2	-6	15.8	17.2	-1.44	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Steven Hunter	44	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	1	-4	16.0	16.6	-0.68	13.9	12.7	1.20
Willie Green	46	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.43	0	-2	2	15.2	17.3	-2.13	13.7	12.7	1.03
Allen Iverson	95	93	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	2	-6	16.4	14.3	2.06	12.9	19.5	-6.58
Andre Iguodala	59	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	4	-10	16.3	16.4	-0.05	12.9	13.7	-0.80

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Ford	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.48	1	1	0	13.3	13.0	0.36	16.6	15.9	0.66
Joey Graham	45	46	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-7	16	12.8	13.5	-0.74	15.5	17.1	-1.60
Chris Bosh	73	74	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	-2	6	12.9	14.0	-1.01	16.2	16.7	-0.56
Anthony Parker	52	54	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.46	-2	4	-6	13.4	13.0	0.45	16.3	16.4	-0.15
Fred Jones	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.35	0	2	-2	13.1	13.3	-0.19	15.8	17.2	-1.42
Jorge Garbajosa	47	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	-3	8	12.8	13.6	-0.83	16.9	15.9	1.00
Kris Humphries	28	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	3	-4	12.8	13.3	-0.53	15.9	16.5	-0.56
Jose Calderon	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	2	-2	12.6	13.6	-0.93	15.6	16.8	-1.14
Rasho Nesterovic	31	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	1	0	14.1	12.8	1.32	18.1	15.4	2.61
Morris Peterson	37	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	4	-6	13.6	13.0	0.60	17.7	15.5	2.21
Andrea Bargnani	12	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	7	-12	15.8	12.8	3.01	14.5	16.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.38,0.61,0.29,0.55,0.83,1	92.2%
IND 92, CLE 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.73,1	91.9%
CHI 74, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.68,0.58,1	91.5%