NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	8.8 [155]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +29.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Comeback	2.0 [882]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -15.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Roy Hibbert	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	-0.00	13	67%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Damjan Rudez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.12,-0.01	0.14	-0.13	0.02	15	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02	0.08	-0.09	0.00	10	64%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.18,0.08,-0.07	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	10	38%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David West	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	25%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	6	17%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.19,0.38,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.03	0.17	-0.10	26	54%	0.36	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	6	92%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	48%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.00	0.05	0.01	0.06	7	69%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.01	16	36%	-0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	28.5	16.0	23.2	2.4	29.4	126.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +62.5%

IND -9.6%

IND -3.9%

CLE +5.9%

IND -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.1	103.4	106.7	104.2
season	16.0	15.9		102.3	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.0		104.1	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.7	14.5	18.5	15.6	16.6
CLE	13.6	16.8	15.1	17.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	29	32	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-10	17	13.9	17.8	-3.99	16.9	15.2	1.76
Lavoy Allen	9	8	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-2	1	14.2	16.8	-2.59	16.9	15.7	1.17
Damjan Rudez	35	36	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-6	9	15.3	17.3	-1.99	16.1	15.6	0.55
Luis Scola	58	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.52	17	-20	37	15.9	17.8	-1.93	16.3	14.9	1.39
Ian Mahinmi	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	17.9	16.1	1.80	16.3	15.7	0.62
Rodney Stuckey	46	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	1	-5	16.3	16.8	-0.42	15.8	15.8	0.04
CJ Miles	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	16.8	16.3	0.57	15.4	16.2	-0.76
Roy Hibbert	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-2	1	16.3	17.3	-1.01	15.9	15.6	0.33
David West	23	23	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	16	-35	18.5	15.9	2.60	14.2	16.4	-2.15
Solomon Hill	54	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	3	-9	17.3	15.3	1.99	15.6	16.1	-0.55
George Hill	60	57	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	7	-17	17.8	13.9	3.99	15.2	16.9	-1.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	48	45	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.52	5	-2	7	16.2	15.4	0.82	15.7	17.4	-1.70
Tristan Thompson	33	34	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	16.9	15.2	1.75	15.5	17.2	-1.70
Kevin Love	71	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	-1	5	15.8	16.0	-0.24	16.7	15.9	0.76
J.R. Smith	56	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.38	3	0	3	14.9	17.3	-2.37	17.5	14.7	2.82
Matthew Dellavedova	32	31	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	15.2	16.1	-0.87	17.3	16.2	1.09
LeBron James	72	71	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	10	-17	16.5	12.8	3.76	15.7	19.9	-4.25
Timofey Mozgov	64	64	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	15.4	16.9	-1.54	17.2	15.0	2.16
James Jones	10	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	15.3	15.9	-0.57	15.0	16.7	-1.73
Kyrie Irving	59	62	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.06	1	2	-1	15.8	15.9	-0.14	16.9	15.8	1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.55,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, TOR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.55,0.58,1	91.9%
MIA 95, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.38,0.61,0.29,0.55,0.83,1	91.0%
PHI 90, TOR 92	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.45,0.57,0.9,1	90.7%