NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	8.7 [217]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (TOR): +58.5%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	2.5 [715]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): -7.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.15	-0.00	11	68%	0.27	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Jimmy Butler	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.24	-0.00	0.23	-0.01	14	47%	0.26	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15	-0.03	0.15	-0.03	18	47%	0.24	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	5	81%	0.15	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	9	68%	0.09	2	-0.16	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.16,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.24,0.59	0.59	-0.01	0.58	-0.01	39	48%	0.74	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.06	-0.01	8	44%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.04	-0.00	10	77%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	11	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.7	33.1	15.7	28.0	3.4	40.6	149.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +0.8%

PHI -16.6%

TOR +25.6%

TOR +37.0%

TOR +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	14.3	98.9	101.1	109.3
season	14.0	14.3		110.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		105.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	18.4	14.0	17.1	16.0
TOR	14.1	14.3	16.6	18.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	76	74	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-4	6	16.4	13.9	2.44	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Greg Monroe	3	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	7	-16	17.7	15.9	1.76	9.6	16.0	-6.43
Joel Embiid	86	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.55	10	-12	22	15.9	17.8	-1.94	16.0	11.3	4.76
Jimmy Butler	78	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-6	10	16.3	14.2	2.12	16.1	12.9	3.18
Mike Scott	20	22	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	10	-22	15.7	16.0	-0.34	15.2	15.8	-0.60
Tobias Harris	82	80	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-3	4	15.8	17.6	-1.76	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Ben Simmons	81	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-4	6	15.5	19.9	-4.42	16.2	12.2	3.98
James Ennis III	29	31	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	6	-14	16.3	15.8	0.45	14.1	16.5	-2.45

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	55	53	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.33	22	-20	42	15.4	16.1	-0.67	16.5	15.3	1.21
Kyle Lowry	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	16.5	12.6	3.85	16.2	15.3	0.89
Fred VanVleet	34	32	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	-8	18	14.0	16.7	-2.64	14.3	16.8	-2.50
Kawhi Leonard	82	83	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	4	-6	15.6	16.7	-1.09	15.6	19.4	-3.74
Marc Gasol	84	86	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.55	-10	12	-22	16.0	11.3	4.76	15.9	17.8	-1.94
Pascal Siakam	70	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.39	-6	8	-14	15.8	15.1	0.70	16.4	14.4	1.94
Danny Green	58	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	8	-14	15.3	16.3	-0.98	16.3	15.4	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.45,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.68,0.9,1	91.9%
ATL 88, MEM 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.48,0.77,0.96,1	91.5%
CHI 90, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.45,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	90.8%