NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	9.1 [121]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +10.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	2.1 [919]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -22.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	0.00	7	73%	0.14	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Christopher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	20	51%	0.05	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.02
Rodney Hood	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	17	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.00	-0.08	0.00	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0,-0.15,-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	16	37%	-0.13	1	-0.10	9	33%	-0.17

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	13	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	4	50%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.03	0.01	14	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.1,0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	20	52%	0.30	6	-0.28	6	67%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	14	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Bullock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.5	27.3	15.0	26.1	2.4	41.3	135.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +71.0%

LAC +6.1%

UTA -20.7%

UTA -9.7%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.1	102.1	105.2	104.2
season	16.2	14.6		103.8	110.5
opponent	15.3	15.3		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.3	14.6	17.4	17.3	16.4
LAC	13.7	13.7	13.9	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Christopher	11	11	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.03	6	-10	16	12.4	16.9	-4.54	14.7	13.7	1.06
Steve Novak	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	11.0	16.4	-5.44	0.0	13.8	-13.79
Enes Kanter	55	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-13	22	16.1	16.7	-0.60	14.4	13.0	1.40
Dante Exum	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-2	0	16.2	16.6	-0.47	13.4	14.3	-0.87
Derrick Favors	69	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-4	4	16.6	15.9	0.63	13.4	14.9	-1.55
Gordon Hayward	70	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-2	0	17.0	14.6	2.41	13.6	14.3	-0.76
Joe Ingles	29	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	5	-14	16.0	16.5	-0.55	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Rudy Gobert	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	2	-8	15.7	17.2	-1.48	13.9	13.7	0.19
Trevor Booker	14	15	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	7	-18	20.1	15.7	4.33	13.3	13.9	-0.62
Rodney Hood	58	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.34	-1	-3	2	16.2	16.7	-0.53	14.1	13.2	0.98
Trey Burke	63	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	0	-4	16.8	15.6	1.14	14.0	13.4	0.63

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamal Crawford	45	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.41	6	-2	8	14.2	13.5	0.73	16.4	16.3	0.09
Spencer Hawes	25	25	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-6	16	14.0	13.7	0.23	17.0	16.2	0.84
Chris Paul	70	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-2	8	13.9	13.6	0.24	16.7	15.5	1.17
Reggie Bullock	24	24	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	-3	10	13.7	13.8	-0.11	15.4	16.7	-1.34
Blake Griffin	83	82	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.38	-1	5	-6	13.9	13.2	0.74	16.1	18.0	-1.88
DeAndre Jordan	72	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	0	4	13.5	14.7	-1.28	17.3	13.7	3.63
JJ Redick	62	59	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	9	-14	13.4	14.5	-1.10	16.5	16.1	0.39
Jordan Farmar	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	6	-8	13.6	13.9	-0.24	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Matt Barnes	61	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	4	-4	13.9	13.5	0.39	16.6	16.0	0.60
Glen Davis	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.05	-5	9	-14	14.7	13.7	1.00	12.5	16.9	-4.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.5,0.51,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.68,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%
CHI 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	92.1%
CHA 95, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.64,0.55,0.96,1	92.1%