NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	9.1 [128]		MVP	Nikola Mirotic (CHI): +18.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	1.6 [834]		LVP	Aaron Brooks (CHI): -21.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.12	0.04	18	60%	0.25	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.08
Joakim Noah	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	7	79%	0.19	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	10	40%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	17	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.01	8	60%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.09
Kirk Hinrich	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.15	-0.04	14	37%	-0.05	3	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.12	0.02	27	54%	0.26	4	-0.12	13	77%	-0.05
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.00	3	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	4	110%	0.26	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	79%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.10
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	16	50%	0.10	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.4	30.6	15.8	25.4	3.4	43.5	146.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +36.2%

CHI -9.7%

OKC +28.3%

CHI -5.4%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	OKC	NBA	CHI	OKC	NBA
this game	15.5	14.2	15.1	103.1	112.4	104.2
season	15.5	14.5		105.4	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.2		103.5	102.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.1	15.5	17.7	12.3	15.5
OKC	14.2	14.5	14.2	13.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	44	46	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-12	15	16.3	14.8	1.51	14.5	14.0	0.50
Joakim Noah	61	61	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-8	7	16.4	13.9	2.47	15.0	12.8	2.17
Doug McDermott	12	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-3	-3	17.1	15.3	1.81	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Kirk Hinrich	36	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.00	-5	-4	-1	15.1	15.7	-0.65	14.5	14.0	0.50
E'Twaun Moore	62	62	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-11	13	14.3	17.6	-3.29	14.2	14.2	0.04
Aaron Brooks	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.24	-4	-5	1	15.7	15.1	0.65	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Nikola Mirotic	62	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	-1	-7	14.6	17.1	-2.58	13.9	14.8	-0.95
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.5	15.4	0.10	13.8	15.3	-1.47
Tony Snell	76	76	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	8	-25	15.7	14.6	1.12	14.1	14.5	-0.42

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	83	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.33	13	-4	17	13.9	16.0	-2.11	15.2	17.1	-1.84
Enes Kanter	75	75	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.21	14	-5	19	13.8	15.5	-1.69	15.6	15.1	0.46
Anthony Morrow	51	53	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	14.1	14.3	-0.12	15.0	16.1	-1.09
Andre Roberson	45	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	3	3	13.4	14.8	-1.40	15.6	15.4	0.18
Dion Waiters	53	52	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	5	-1	13.8	14.6	-0.76	15.3	15.8	-0.49
Steven Adams	64	64	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	14.8	13.1	1.67	15.8	14.8	1.03
D.J. Augustin	48	48	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	7	-5	14.6	13.8	0.89	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Nick Collison	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.11	-1	10	-11	14.6	14.0	0.63	15.6	15.4	0.17
Kyle Singler	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.05	2	7	-5	15.0	14.0	1.00	17.7	14.9	2.84
Mitch McGary	17	17	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.09	-5	14	-19	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.4	15.3	1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 90, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.72,0.83,0.91,1	92.6%
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.4%
NJN 81, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.84,1	92.2%