NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	8.2 [211]		MVP	Tyrone Corbin (ATL): +18.6%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	1.8 [730]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -22.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marty Conlon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.03	0.06	-0.05	7	50%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Eric Williams	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	-0.00	13	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Todd Day	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	16	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.01	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alton Lister	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.06
Brett Szabo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.15,-0.23	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	18	49%	-0.08	4	-0.15	9	67%	-0.09

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.11	-0.01	10	68%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.17,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.13	0.02	17	63%	0.25	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	84%	0.22	6	-0.17	3	67%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	22	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	5	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	9	15%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.5	24.3	15.4	22.6	1.6	38.2	126.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +18.3%

ATL +13.9%

ATL +27.6%

BOS -5.0%

BOS -4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	16.8	15.6	102.3	106.7	104.4
season	14.8	16.4		101.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	14.7		100.3	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	15.9	16.9	14.1	15.8
ATL	18.0	15.4	15.9	17.8	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brett Szabo	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-6	7	14.2	16.0	-1.78	14.5	17.1	-2.68
Alton Lister	8	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	1	-7	18.2	15.5	2.71	17.0	16.7	0.27
Eric Williams	59	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	16.4	14.6	1.79	18.5	12.9	5.68
Todd Day	67	68	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-10	15	15.2	17.5	-2.29	16.2	18.6	-2.38
Marty Conlon	42	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	0	-5	16.0	15.6	0.46	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Dee Brown	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.7	17.6	-2.84	15.4	19.1	-3.72
Antoine Walker	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-4	3	15.6	16.3	-0.65	17.9	13.3	4.62
Rick Fox	61	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	16.2	14.9	1.34	16.7	16.8	-0.04
David Wesley	70	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.26	-12	7	-19	16.3	13.9	2.38	16.7	16.9	-0.18

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	79	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-5	15	17.1	14.3	2.76	15.9	15.1	0.79
Tyrone Corbin	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.38	5	0	5	15.9	19.9	-4.06	16.1	14.7	1.40
Steven Smith	82	81	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.37	5	0	5	17.1	13.0	4.07	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Mookie Blaylock	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-1	7	16.6	18.1	-1.51	16.0	12.5	3.52
Dikembe Mutombo	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	9	-13	18.2	15.0	3.25	16.8	14.6	2.19
Ivano Newbill	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-4	13	17.7	16.2	1.46	16.2	15.6	0.63
Eldridge Recasner	28	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	7	-9	13.3	18.3	-5.06	12.8	17.0	-4.17
Henry James	24	24	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	9	-13	17.4	16.5	0.85	14.7	16.2	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.47,0.72,0.83,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.63,0.68,0.96,1	92.6%
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.3%
NJN 81, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.84,1	91.8%