NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	108		Excitement	7.8 [262]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +28.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.9 [769]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (POR): -10.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.01	18	69%	0.30	2	-0.09	15	93%	0.07
Shaquille O'Neal	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	16	63%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Bryon Russell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.02	-0.02	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Devean George	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	0.00	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.19,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.09	0.21	0.02	22	57%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	4	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	6	69%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	21	60%	0.16	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	21	49%	0.03	3	-0.09	7	57%	-0.08
Jeff McInnis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	9	40%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.7	31.1	15.7	23.1	2.5	38.2	134.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.7%

LAL -18.9%

POR +16.5%

POR +6.6%

LAL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	17.4	15.7	113.7	120.4	100.5
season	15.4	17.1		102.8	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	11.0	14.0	15.3	13.3
POR	17.7	17.8	17.3	16.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	20	19	0.06	-0.56	0.61	0.09	-1	-3	2	15.9	12.6	3.33	17.4	17.4	0.02
Horace Grant	20	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-2	0	13.2	13.3	-0.03	18.3	17.2	1.13
Bryon Russell	27	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	0	-4	13.1	13.4	-0.28	17.5	17.4	0.08
Derek Fisher	32	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	2	-8	13.9	13.0	0.91	18.0	17.1	0.90
Devean George	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.33	1	-5	6	13.2	13.3	-0.08	17.3	17.7	-0.40
Kobe Bryant	84	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-4	4	13.7	9.8	3.91	17.0	20.6	-3.66
Karl Malone	70	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	13.1	13.8	-0.77	17.4	17.4	0.07
Gary Payton	79	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-2	0	12.6	16.7	-4.18	17.3	17.8	-0.44
Shaquille O'Neal	82	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.38	-2	-2	0	12.9	15.8	-2.89	17.5	16.7	0.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	43	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.33	12	-8	20	17.5	17.3	0.23	13.8	12.8	1.03
Damon Stoudamire	78	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	17.6	16.7	0.88	13.6	11.3	2.30
Dale Davis	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	17.6	16.5	1.10	12.7	16.9	-4.20
Zach Randolph	68	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.38	0	4	-4	17.3	17.7	-0.43	13.6	12.2	1.45
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	6	-8	17.3	17.8	-0.44	12.7	16.4	-3.71
Wesley Person	33	33	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	0	4	17.7	17.2	0.49	14.7	12.5	2.23
Vladimir Stepania	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.03	2	2	0	17.7	17.4	0.39	17.5	12.6	4.85
Qyntel Woods	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	1.0	17.6	-16.59	0.5	13.5	-13.05
Jeff McInnis	71	71	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	8	-12	17.2	18.0	-0.83	12.5	15.7	-3.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	93.0%
WAS 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.9%
DAL 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.95,1	92.8%