NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	7.9 [299]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +13.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	108		Comeback	1.9 [790]		LVP	Marquis Daniels (DAL): -17.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.01	-0.00	8	71%	0.11	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	80%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	15	46%	-0.08	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.09
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12	0.01	-0.11	0.02	17	52%	-0.12	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.02
Josh Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	12	38%	-0.01	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Marquis Daniels	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	18	43%	-0.06	2	-0.11	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	10	69%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	27	57%	0.18	3	-0.11	16	87%	0.04
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	59%	0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	62%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	14	59%	0.08	3	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	9	39%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	3.6	36.6	17.8	29.9	2.8	39.3	157.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +65.5%

DAL -21.1%

LAL +9.2%

DAL -4.1%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	16.4	15.5	108.4	112.5	104.0
season	14.9	15.7		108.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	12.2	13.7	15.6	13.7
LAL	17.4	18.3	16.9	13.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	31	33	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.06	3	-8	11	13.1	14.0	-0.89	17.6	15.8	1.86
Darrell Armstrong	14	15	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	10.1	14.3	-4.20	11.7	17.3	-5.55
Keith Van Horn	50	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-5	5	13.4	14.1	-0.65	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Jerry Stackhouse	70	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-8	11	13.1	15.6	-2.54	16.1	17.5	-1.44
Marquis Daniels	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-7	9	14.2	12.9	1.27	16.9	15.6	1.29
Alan Henderson	31	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.04	-10	5	-15	15.5	12.9	2.61	17.3	16.0	1.33
Josh Howard	77	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	6	-17	14.4	10.7	3.77	16.7	15.2	1.47
Jason Terry	57	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	1	-7	13.5	14.0	-0.46	16.4	16.5	-0.11
Dirk Nowitzki	84	84	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	3	-11	13.8	13.4	0.41	16.2	18.0	-1.81

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	86	87	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-6	17	16.2	18.0	-1.77	14.0	10.6	3.39
Lamar Odom	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	16.3	17.1	-0.78	13.8	13.1	0.72
Jumaine Jones	54	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	15.4	17.8	-2.43	13.8	13.7	0.09
Caron Butler	65	65	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	2	1	16.0	17.3	-1.34	13.8	13.6	0.18
Chucky Atkins	80	77	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.35	-5	10	-15	16.3	16.9	-0.62	12.9	17.2	-4.24
Brian Grant	21	22	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	2	1	17.9	16.0	1.90	15.0	13.3	1.72
Slava Medvedenko	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	3	-1	16.2	16.4	-0.19	13.3	13.8	-0.51
Luke Walton	33	33	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	6	-7	17.6	15.8	1.81	14.1	13.5	0.51
Chris Mihm	39	38	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	3	-1	17.4	15.7	1.72	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Brian Cook	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.5	16.3	1.27	13.4	13.8	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.86,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.8%
HOU 96, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.84,0.9,1	92.4%
WAS 87, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.4%