NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	88		Excitement	8.2 [221]		MVP	Mike Conley (MEM): +30.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	3.0 [454]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -32.3%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Scott	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.06	-0.00	11	58%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.04	0.03	13	73%	0.19	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Pero Antic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	10	20%	-0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.32	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.17	-0.16	-0.00	11	25%	-0.12	4	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.17	-0.02	12	72%	0.34	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.00	7	62%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	10	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.08	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	14	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	37%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	10	30%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	16	32%	-0.21	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.4	27.4	15.8	29.0	2.5	31.4	129.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -20.6%

MEM +13.5%

MEM +44.5%

MEM +9.3%

MEM +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MEM	NBA	ATL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	16.1	15.1	90.7	96.9	104.2
season	14.9	15.9		106.7	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.8	13.6	12.3	15.0	13.6
MEM	16.2	17.1	13.9	17.8	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	37	36	0.28	-0.78	1.07	-0.04	11	-17	28	14.9	12.7	2.14	18.1	15.0	3.07
Pero Antic	34	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-3	0	13.1	13.8	-0.74	14.9	16.7	-1.79
Kent Bazemore	60	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-3	0	14.4	12.3	2.10	16.3	15.8	0.47
Dennis Schroder	31	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	0	-6	14.1	13.3	0.83	15.0	16.6	-1.65
Jeff Teague	63	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-7	8	13.1	14.5	-1.44	16.6	15.1	1.46
DeMarre Carroll	61	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-1	-4	13.5	13.7	-0.29	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Paul Millsap	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.15	-9	3	-12	13.9	13.1	0.73	15.3	17.4	-2.12
Kyle Korver	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	13.4	14.1	-0.74	16.4	15.0	1.39
Al Horford	67	68	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.41	-11	5	-16	12.6	15.7	-3.09	16.2	16.0	0.13

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	76	74	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-3	12	15.9	17.1	-1.24	12.9	15.8	-2.90
Mike Conley	68	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-2	10	16.3	15.8	0.47	12.7	15.7	-3.07
Jeff Green	55	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	-1	8	16.1	16.1	0.01	12.8	14.5	-1.70
Tony Allen	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	5	-4	16.2	16.1	0.06	14.5	12.4	2.09
Zach Randolph	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.17	5	1	4	15.8	16.8	-0.98	13.1	14.6	-1.40
Kosta Koufos	32	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	3	0	16.7	15.8	0.89	14.8	12.9	1.89
Beno Udrih	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	8	-10	16.4	15.9	0.49	14.9	12.8	2.10
Courtney Lee	64	64	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	-2	10	15.6	17.2	-1.56	13.0	14.6	-1.53
Jon Leuer	13	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	9	-12	17.4	15.9	1.46	15.4	13.3	2.18
Nick Calathes	18	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	12	-18	17.0	15.9	1.08	16.1	12.9	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.48,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, UTA 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.28,0.54,0.48,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.74,1	92.4%
ORL 80, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.66,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	92.0%
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	91.7%