NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	93		Excitement	8.0 [249]		MVP	Gary Neal (CHA): +20.4%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	4.4 [335]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (NYK): -22.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.07	-0.00	10	71%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jason Maxiell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kemba Walker	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.13,0	0.10	-0.08	0.01	9	73%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Gerald Henderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	17	50%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	37%	-0.10
Marvin Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19	-0.02	-0.12	0.04	9	56%	0.10	4	-0.29	7	86%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	5	90%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.22,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.09	-0.00	22	60%	0.23	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.08	0.01	11	58%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.01	13	55%	0.14	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	7	41%	-0.09	4	-0.11	3	0%	-0.09
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	2	0%	-0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	28.7	15.6	28.1	2.6	35.2	139.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.4%

CHA -17.4%

NYK +14.6%

NYK +12.2%

NYK +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	NYK	NBA	CHA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.1	103.3	109.1	104.2
season	15.6	16.1		98.9	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.1		108.3	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.7	14.5	17.0	17.7	16.4
NYK	13.9	16.2	17.3	16.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	39	39	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.00	13	-16	29	15.4	17.2	-1.79	16.3	15.7	0.54
Jason Maxiell	27	27	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.01	5	-8	13	15.2	16.9	-1.68	16.4	15.7	0.71
Gerald Henderson	33	32	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.17	-5	2	-7	16.2	16.5	-0.34	16.9	15.4	1.45
Brian Roberts	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	2	-7	16.3	16.5	-0.17	16.5	15.6	0.95
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	19	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	6	-15	17.4	16.1	1.29	12.8	16.8	-4.04
Gary Neal	57	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.69	13	-16	29	15.8	17.4	-1.62	17.0	14.1	2.97
Kemba Walker	56	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-5	7	16.5	16.3	0.17	15.6	16.5	-0.95
Lance Stephenson	71	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	2	-7	16.7	15.3	1.44	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Al Jefferson	63	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.42	-8	5	-13	16.9	15.2	1.68	15.7	16.4	-0.71
Marvin Williams	51	49	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	13	-29	17.2	15.4	1.79	15.7	16.3	-0.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	42	42	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.56	11	-8	19	15.1	16.7	-1.55	17.2	15.7	1.44
Iman Shumpert	43	45	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.48	10	-7	17	16.7	15.2	1.45	18.0	14.8	3.11
Pablo Prigioni	46	46	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	-3	9	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.8	17.0	-1.17
Carmelo Anthony	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	7	-11	15.6	16.7	-1.10	16.9	15.2	1.72
J.R. Smith	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	6	-9	15.5	16.7	-1.17	14.8	18.8	-4.01
Quincy Acy	37	38	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	-8	19	14.3	17.2	-2.86	18.3	15.0	3.27
Tim Hardaway Jr.	21	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	1	1	16.9	15.7	1.25	14.8	16.8	-2.04
Shane Larkin	47	50	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	1	1	15.9	16.0	-0.04	16.9	15.7	1.17
Amar'e Stoudemire	41	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.13	0	3	-3	17.3	14.8	2.55	16.1	16.7	-0.62
Cole Aldrich	11	12	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.05	-7	10	-17	18.8	15.5	3.27	14.4	16.7	-2.29
Jason Smith	37	37	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.00	-13	16	-29	16.0	15.9	0.03	15.1	17.3	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.6,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.55,0.73,1	91.6%
GSW 83, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.73,1	91.3%
PHI 98, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.22,0.39,0.45,0.57,0.73,1	91.0%