NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	83		Excitement	9.2 [98]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +19.2%
Houston Rockets	85		Comeback	7.7 [188]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -34.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cardinal	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	5	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.02	0.09	-0.01	11	42%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Calbert Cheaney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.01	20	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.22	0.00	-0.23	-0.01	8	62%	-0.18	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.33
Speedy Claxton	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.32,-0.32	-0.10	-0.23	-0.00	10	42%	-0.20	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.05
Mike Dunleavy	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.34	-0.08	-0.26	-0.01	10	36%	-0.30	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.08	-0.03	8	69%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	9	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.07	-0.13	0.01	18	61%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Torraye Braggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	32%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.13	-0.02	18	51%	-0.07	3	-0.11	9	56%	-0.21

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	525.4	1.6	29.3	14.8	21.1	2.5	38.2	633.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +36.1%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +19.2%

GSW -11.4%

HOU +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	16.9	17.2	15.7	97.6	101.2	100.5
season	16.1	16.5		100.8	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.3		97.1	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.7	18.1	16.9	17.0	16.9
HOU	16.3	15.5	21.0	16.4	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	24	21	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.07	6	-8	14	16.1	17.2	-1.09	19.9	16.3	3.63
Avery Johnson	22	20	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.10	-3	1	-4	18.8	16.3	2.52	18.5	16.7	1.80
Cherokee Parks	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-2	2	0.0	16.9	-16.91	0.0	17.4	-17.39
Erick Dampier	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-2	2	17.2	12.7	4.56	17.6	11.2	6.36
Mike Dunleavy	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	0	-2	16.3	17.7	-1.41	16.2	18.4	-2.22
Calbert Cheaney	48	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	-1	0	16.9	16.9	-0.07	17.9	16.3	1.53
Speedy Claxton	63	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.54	1	-3	4	16.3	18.8	-2.52	16.7	18.5	-1.80
Jason Richardson	77	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	3	-8	17.2	14.2	2.93	17.3	16.6	0.70
Clifford Robinson	64	65	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.55	-6	4	-10	17.0	16.8	0.19	16.2	20.4	-4.19

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	57	54	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.75	2	0	2	16.6	18.3	-1.70	16.1	18.2	-2.08
Cuttino Mobley	73	71	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.53	5	-3	8	16.5	21.4	-4.82	16.8	17.3	-0.45
Bostjan Nachbar	31	34	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	-2	6	17.5	17.0	0.53	17.8	16.3	1.53
Jim Jackson	65	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	6	-10	17.5	16.2	1.25	16.2	19.4	-3.15
Steve Francis	69	72	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	6	-10	17.4	16.0	1.43	16.5	18.9	-2.38
Yao Ming	57	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-4	10	17.2	17.0	0.21	17.8	14.8	2.97
Torraye Braggs	25	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	-3	8	17.2	17.2	-0.03	19.1	15.8	3.28
Moochie Norris	15	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.15	6	-4	10	16.0	17.4	-1.43	18.9	16.5	2.38
Maurice Taylor	28	27	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.03	-10	12	-22	18.8	16.4	2.41	14.9	17.9	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.58,1	92.1%
IND 93, NYK 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.58,1	91.8%
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	91.3%