NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	8.5 [106]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +13.2%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	7.6 [98]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -44.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	9	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.01	4	57%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.09	0.07	-0.17	0.00	6	88%	0.01	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	3	33%	-0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	16	44%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	-0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.44	-0.09	-0.34	0.00	19	45%	-0.16	4	-0.28	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	9	71%	0.17	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	24	63%	0.11	0	0.00	11	82%	-0.00
David Wingate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.21	4	-0.21	4	100%	0.09
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	7	45%	-0.08	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	0.00	8	39%	-0.11	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	36.6	17.7	25.2	2.6	35.0	141.7
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.3%

NYK +24.3%

IND -32.5%

NYK +5.5%

NYK +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	16.1	15.8	105.7	110.6	99.6
season	16.4	16.0		105.4	97.0
opponent	16.6	16.0		95.1	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.8	18.0	15.7	17.6	17.2
NYK	15.8	16.2	15.6	16.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	53	50	0.46	-0.96	1.43	0.23	8	-9	17	17.4	16.9	0.45	16.2	15.8	0.39
Jalen Rose	21	21	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-5	9	19.8	16.4	3.34	16.4	16.0	0.43
Chris Mullin	40	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	6	-13	16.5	17.8	-1.31	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Mark Jackson	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	5	-11	16.9	17.6	-0.66	16.0	16.2	-0.23
Al Harrington	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.45	5	-6	11	17.4	17.0	0.42	16.7	15.5	1.21
Travis Best	43	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-3	5	17.8	16.7	1.12	16.5	15.7	0.78
Reggie Miller	71	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	16.6	19.8	-3.23	15.5	18.1	-2.60
Dale Davis	71	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	17.4	16.6	0.71	16.3	15.1	1.25
Rik Smits	52	52	-0.99	0.49	-1.49	-0.70	-10	9	-19	16.8	17.7	-0.90	15.6	16.8	-1.24

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	63	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.51	6	-5	11	15.5	17.6	-2.13	17.2	17.4	-0.22
Patrick Ewing	71	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.49	5	-4	9	15.8	17.3	-1.47	17.0	18.1	-1.03
Charlie Ward	66	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.40	5	-4	9	16.2	15.6	0.62	16.9	18.3	-1.40
Larry Johnson	64	66	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.26	4	-3	7	16.2	15.7	0.52	17.2	17.3	-0.08
Latrell Sprewell	56	59	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.47	-6	7	-13	15.9	16.3	-0.33	17.4	16.8	0.58
Chris Dudley	35	36	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	-3	7	16.5	15.8	0.73	16.6	17.6	-1.02
David Wingate	5	5	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.05	1	0	1	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.0	17.3	-2.35
Chris Childs	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	5	-9	15.6	16.2	-0.62	18.3	16.9	1.40
Kurt Thomas	24	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	6	-11	15.8	16.2	-0.37	17.4	17.1	0.26
Marcus Camby	22	21	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	18.3	15.3	2.99	18.9	16.7	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.12,0.22,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 92, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.42,1	91.8%
GSW 83, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.68,0.63,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.28,0.39,0.28,0.22,0.73,1	91.8%
DEN 101, GSW 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.42,1	91.3%